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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 2 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A vigorous tropical wave passing just south of Jamaica is moving
rapidly westward at about 20 mph toward the northwestern Caribbean
Sea. Environmental conditions are favorable for additional
development, and a tropical storm will likely form later today. An
Air Force plane is enroute to investigate the wave and determine if
a closed circulation has formed. Regardless of tropical cyclone
formation, the wave is already producing winds of 40 to 45 mph, and
these conditions along with heavy rains will likely continue over
portions of Jamaica this morning, and will spread over the Cayman
Islands later today. Interests in the western Caribbean Sea,
primarily the north coast of Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan
Peninsula should monitor products issued by their local
meteorological services for possible watches and warnings. For
additional information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on
the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Avila






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