Page 4 of 4 FirstFirst 1234
Results 31 to 39 of 39

Thread: Hurricane Leslie - Atlantic

  1. #31
    CLF Captain
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Location
    Portland,ME
    Posts
    11,052
    Bermuda Calm as Leslie Passes By:

    (AP) HAMILTON, Bermuda - Tropical Storm Leslie swirled northward in the Atlantic late Saturday toward Bermuda, and forecasters said it might strengthen into a hurricane again while passing to the east of this wealthy British territory.

    Forecasts pointed to the storm following a track about 200 miles east-southeast of the British territory Sunday afternoon or evening, the Bermuda Weather Service said.

    "Bermuda seems to have escaped the worst of Tropical Storm Leslie," said Wayne Perinchief, the national security minister. "However, we should by no means let our guard down as we are still expecting strong winds and rain as well as dangerous ocean conditions overnight and well into Sunday. "

    The government said that unless the storm's course changed, the airport would remain open, although major airlines already canceled flights. Officials also called off plans to open an emergency shelter but said the facility would remain in a state of readiness in case it was needed.

    Bermuda, a financial haven and tourist destination, has strong building codes and is accustomed to storms, and many people on the island were not worried by Leslie.

    "I have taken precautions," said Gareth Kerr, 29. "The windows have the shutters across and I got supplies such as water and tinned food. If the weather is bad tomorrow I'll just sit indoors."

    Still, there was the chance of some flooding, said James Dodgson, a forecaster for the Bermuda Weather Service. Dodgson said the storm surge was likely to be relatively small at one or two feet but the surge coupled with high tide Sunday could cause some minor flooding in low-lying areas.

    "I urge the public to remain cautious," Perinchief said.

    The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said that by late Saturday, the storm was maintaining top sustained winds of 65 mph, below the hurricane threshold of 74 mph.

    Leslie was about 200 miles southeast of Bermuda and was moving north at 8 mph. The U.S. center said some strengthening was expected and Leslie could regain hurricane strength Sunday or Sunday night.

    "We expect the weather to go downhill later today with strong gusty winds," said Eric Blake, a hurricane specialist at the U.S. center.

    The total amount of rainfall could reach two inches or more, he said.

    Out in the middle of the Atlantic and considered no threat to land, Hurricane Michael remained a Category 2 storm but slowed a bit to maximum sustained winds of 100 mph. On Thursday, it was briefly the first Category 3 of the Atlantic hurricane season.

    Michael was moving north-northwest at 6 mph. It was about 920 miles west-southwest of the Azores.


    Name:  Leslie_090812_620x350.jpeg
Views: 22
Size:  127.4 KB

  2. #32
    CLF Captain
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Location
    Portland,ME
    Posts
    11,052
    tropical storm leslie forecast/advisory number 42
    nws national hurricane center miami fl al122012
    2100 utc sun sep 09 2012

    changes in watches and warnings with this advisory...

    none.

    summary of watches and warnings in effect...

    a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
    * bermuda

    interests in newfoundland should monitor the progress of leslie.

    tropical storm center located near 33.4n 62.1w at 09/2100z
    position accurate within 25 nm

    present movement toward the north or 10 degrees at 12 kt

    estimated minimum central pressure 988 mb
    max sustained winds 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt.
    50 kt....... 80ne 80se 80sw 80nw.
    34 kt.......170ne 150se 120sw 150nw.
    12 ft seas..270ne 240se 240sw 270nw.
    winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
    miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.

    repeat...center located near 33.4n 62.1w at 09/2100z
    at 09/1800z center was located near 32.7n 62.3w

    forecast valid 10/0600z 35.1n 61.6w
    max wind 55 kt...gusts 65 kt.
    50 kt... 80ne 80se 80sw 80nw.
    34 kt...170ne 150se 120sw 150nw.

    forecast valid 10/1800z 38.5n 60.0w
    max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.
    50 kt... 80ne 80se 80sw 80nw.
    34 kt...170ne 150se 120sw 150nw.

    forecast valid 11/0600z 44.1n 56.7w
    max wind 65 kt...gusts 80 kt.
    64 kt... 40ne 40se 0sw 30nw.
    50 kt... 90ne 90se 60sw 60nw.
    34 kt...200ne 200se 160sw 120nw.

    forecast valid 11/1800z 51.0n 51.0w...post-trop/extratrop
    max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.
    50 kt...120ne 120se 60sw 60nw.
    34 kt...250ne 250se 200sw 150nw.

    forecast valid 12/1800z 60.0n 32.5w...post-trop/extratrop
    max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.
    50 kt... 90ne 120se 120sw 0nw.
    34 kt...250ne 300se 300sw 270nw.

    extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 175 nm
    on day 4 and 225 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day

    outlook valid 13/1800z 63.5n 9.0w...post-trop/extratrop
    max wind 50 kt...gusts 60 kt.

    outlook valid 14/1800z...absorbed

    request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 33.4n 62.1w

    next advisory at 10/0300z

  3. #33
    CLF Captain
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Location
    Portland,ME
    Posts
    11,052

  4. #34
    CLF Captain
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Location
    Portland,ME
    Posts
    11,052
    bulletin
    tropical storm leslie intermediate advisory number 42a
    nws national hurricane center miami fl al122012
    800 pm ast sun sep 09 2012

    ...leslie moving away from bermuda and headed for newfoundland...


    summary of 800 pm ast...0000 utc...information
    ----------------------------------------------
    location...33.8n 62.0w
    about 190 mi...310 km ene of bermuda
    maximum sustained winds...60 mph...95 km/h
    present movement...n or 10 degrees at 14 mph...22 km/h
    minimum central pressure...988 mb...29.18 inches


    watches and warnings
    --------------------
    changes with this advisory...

    none.

    summary of watches and warnings in effect...

    a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
    * bermuda

    interests in newfoundland should monitor the progress of leslie.

    for storm information specific to your area...please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    discussion and 48-hour outlook
    ------------------------------
    at 800 pm ast...0000 utc...the center of tropical storm leslie was
    located near latitude 33.8 north...longitude 62.0 west. Leslie is
    moving toward the north near 14 mph...22 km/h...and will continue to
    move away from bermuda this evening. A turn to the north-northeast
    with a significant increase in forward speed is expected over the
    next day or so...and leslie is expected to be near newfoundland by
    tuesday.

    maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph...95 km/h...with higher
    gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next day or
    two...and leslie could regain hurricane status by tuesday. Leslie
    is expected to begin a transformation to an extratropical or
    frontal cyclone as it approaches newfoundland.

    tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles...315 km
    from the center. A wind gust to 47 mph...76 km/h...was recently
    reported on bermuda.

    the estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb...29.18 inches.


    hazards affecting land
    ----------------------
    wind...tropical-storm-force winds should end over bermuda sometime
    this evening.

    surf...swells generated by leslie will continue to affect bermuda...
    the u.s. East coast from central florida northward...the canadian
    maritimes...the northern leeward islands...puerto rico...and the
    virgin islands for the next couple of days. These swells could cause
    life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office for more information.

    rainfall...leslie is expected to produce additional rainfall
    accumulations of 1 to 2 inches on bermuda.


    next advisory
    -------------
    next complete advisory...1100 pm ast.

  5. #35
    CLF Captain
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Location
    Portland,ME
    Posts
    11,052
    bulletin
    tropical storm leslie advisory number 44
    nws national hurricane center miami fl al122012
    500 am ast mon sep 10 2012

    ...leslie heading for newfoundland...


    summary of 500 am ast...0900 utc...information
    ----------------------------------------------
    location...35.7n 61.2w
    about 315 mi...505 km ne of bermuda
    about 870 mi...1395 km ssw of cape race newfoundland
    maximum sustained winds...60 mph...95 km/h
    present movement...nne or 15 degrees at 16 mph...26 km/h
    minimum central pressure...988 mb...29.18 inches


    watches and warnings
    --------------------
    changes with this advisory...

    none.

    summary of watches and warnings in effect...

    a hurricane watch is in effect for...
    * newfoundland from stones cove to charlottetown

    a tropical storm watch is in effect for...
    * newfoundland from indian harbour to stones cove
    * newfoundland from fogo island to charlottetown

    a hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
    within the watch area...in this case within 24 to 36 hours.

    a tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area...in this case within 24 to 36 hours.

    for storm information specific to your area...please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    discussion and 48-hour outlook
    ------------------------------
    at 500 am ast...0900 utc...the center of tropical storm leslie was
    located near latitude 35.7 north...longitude 61.2 west. Leslie is
    moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph...26 km/h. A
    north-northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed is
    expected during the next day or so. On the forecast track...the
    center of leslie is forecast to move over southeastern newfoundland
    on tuesday morning.

    maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph...95 km/h...with higher
    gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next day or
    so...and leslie could be near hurricane strength as it
    approaches newfoundland. Leslie is also expected to begin a
    transformation to an extratropical or frontal cyclone as it
    approaches the canadian maritimes.

    tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles...335 km
    from the center.

    estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb...29.18 inches.


    hazards affecting land
    ----------------------
    surf...swells generated by leslie will continue to affect bermuda...
    the u.s. East coast from central florida northward...and the
    canadian maritimes for the next day or two. These swells could
    cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
    consult products from your local weather office for more
    information.

    rainfall...leslie is expected to produce total rainfall
    accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across newfoundland.


    next advisory
    -------------
    next intermediate advisory...800 am ast.
    next complete advisory...1100 am ast.

  6. #36
    CLF Captain
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Location
    Portland,ME
    Posts
    11,052
    tropical storm leslie forecast/advisory number 45
    nws national hurricane center miami fl al122012
    1500 utc mon sep 10 2012

    changes in watches and warnings with this advisory...

    environment canada has issued a tropical storm warning for
    southeastern newfoundland from indian harbor to triton.

    summary of watches and warnings in effect...

    a hurricane watch is in effect for...
    * newfoundland from stones cove to charlottetown

    a tropical storm warning is effect for...
    * newfoundland from indian harbour to triton

    a hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
    within the watch area...in this case within 24 hours.

    a tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within 24
    hours.

    tropical storm center located near 37.0n 60.2w at 10/1500z
    position accurate within 30 nm

    present movement toward the north-northeast or 30 degrees at 15 kt

    estimated minimum central pressure 988 mb
    max sustained winds 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt.
    50 kt....... 80ne 80se 60sw 70nw.
    34 kt.......180ne 180se 140sw 150nw.
    12 ft seas..300ne 360se 360sw 270nw.
    winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
    miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.

    repeat...center located near 37.0n 60.2w at 10/1500z
    at 10/1200z center was located near 36.4n 60.8w

    forecast valid 11/0000z 41.4n 58.5w
    max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.
    50 kt...100ne 100se 60sw 60nw.
    34 kt...180ne 200se 150sw 150nw.

    forecast valid 11/1200z 48.0n 54.0w...post-trop/extratrop
    max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.
    50 kt...120ne 120se 80sw 60nw.
    34 kt...220ne 240se 180sw 150nw.

    forecast valid 12/0000z 55.0n 47.0w...post-trop/extratrop
    max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.
    50 kt...100ne 120se 120sw 60nw.
    34 kt...200ne 270se 250sw 150nw.

    forecast valid 12/1200z 60.5n 38.5w...post-trop/extratrop
    max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.
    50 kt... 60ne 180se 180sw 60nw.
    34 kt...210ne 360se 300sw 150nw.

    extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
    on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day

    outlook valid 14/1200z...absorbed


    request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 37.0n 60.2w

    next advisory at 10/2100z

  7. #37
    CLF Captain
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Location
    Portland,ME
    Posts
    11,052
    bulletin
    tropical storm leslie advisory number 46
    nws national hurricane center miami fl al122012
    500 pm ast mon sep 10 2012

    ...leslie racing toward newfoundland with 70 mph winds...


    summary of 500 pm ast...2100 utc...information
    ----------------------------------------------
    location...40.0n 59.1w
    about 550 mi...890 km sw of cape race newfoundland
    maximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/h
    present movement...nne or 20 degrees at 35 mph...56 km/h
    minimum central pressure...988 mb...29.18 inches


    watches and warnings
    --------------------
    changes with this advisory...

    none.

    summary of watches and warnings in effect...

    a hurricane watch is in effect for...
    * newfoundland from stones cove to charlottetown

    a tropical storm warning is effect for...
    * newfoundland from indian harbour to triton

    a hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
    within the watch area...in this case within 24 hours.

    a tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within 24
    hours.

    for storm information specific to your area...please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    discussion and 48-hour outlook
    ------------------------------
    at 500 pm ast...2100 utc...the center of tropical storm leslie was
    located near latitude 40.0 north...longitude 59.1 west. Leslie has
    increased its forward speed and is now moving toward the
    north-northeast near 35 mph...56 km/h. This general motion with
    an additional increase in forward speed is anticipated. On this
    track...the center of leslie should move over eastern newfoundland
    early tuesday. However...the weather should begin to deteriorate
    later tonight.

    maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/h...with higher
    gusts. Only small changes in intensity are forecast before leslie
    moves over newfoundland...and the system should transform into an
    extratropical or frontal cyclone in about 24 hours.

    tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles...
    370 km...mainly to the north and east of the center.

    estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb...29.18 inches.


    hazards affecting land
    ----------------------
    surf...swells generated by leslie will continue to affect bermuda...
    portions of the u.s. East coast...and the canadian atlantic
    provinces for the next day or two. These swells could cause
    life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office for more information.

    rainfall...leslie is expected to produce total rainfall
    accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across newfoundland and eastern nova
    scotia. Isolated maximum storm total amounts of 6 inches are
    possible in association with leslie.


    next advisory
    -------------
    next intermediate advisory...800 pm ast.
    next complete advisory...1100 pm ast.

  8. #38
    CLF Captain
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Location
    Portland,ME
    Posts
    11,052

  9. #39
    CLF Captain
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Location
    Portland,ME
    Posts
    11,052
    bulletin
    tropical storm leslie intermediate advisory number 48a
    nws national hurricane center miami fl al122012
    800 am ast tue sep 11 2012

    ...center of leslie about to move over newfoundland...
    ...hurricane-force wind gusts continue over eastern parts of the
    province...


    summary of 800 am ast...1200 utc...information
    ----------------------------------------------
    location...47.2n 55.7w
    about 35 mi...55 km s of stones cove newfoundland
    about 140 mi...230 km w of st. Johns newfoundland
    maximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/h
    present movement...nne or 20 degrees at 40 mph...65 km/h
    minimum central pressure...968 mb...28.59 inches


    watches and warnings
    --------------------
    changes with this advisory...

    none.

    summary of watches and warnings in effect...

    a hurricane watch is in effect for...
    * newfoundland from stones cove to charlottetown

    a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
    * newfoundland from indian harbour to triton

    for storm information specific to your area...please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    discussion and 48-hour outlook
    ------------------------------
    at 800 am ast...1200 utc...the center of tropical storm leslie was
    located near latitude 47.2 north...longitude 55.7 west. Leslie is
    moving toward the north-northeast near 40 mph...65 km/h. This
    general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected
    today...and a turn toward the northeast is forecast on wednesday.
    on this track...the center of leslie will be moving over eastern
    newfoundland this morning...and move away from atlantic canada
    this afternoon.

    maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/h...with higher
    gusts. Little change in strength is expected during the next day
    or so...and the system is forecast to become an extratropical or
    frontal cyclone later this morning.

    tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles...
    500 km...mainly to the east of the center. A sustained wind of 57
    mph...92 km/h with a gust to 81 mph...131 km/h was recently reported
    at st. Johns newfoundland.

    the estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb...28.59 inches.


    hazards affecting land
    ----------------------
    wind...tropical-storm-force winds will continue over eastern
    newfoundland through this afternoon. Hurricane-force wind
    gusts are likely to continue across portions of southeastern
    newfoundland this morning.

    surf...swells generated by leslie will continue to affect atlantic
    canada today. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and
    rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
    weather office for more information.

    rainfall...leslie is expected to produce total rainfall
    accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across newfoundland and eastern nova
    scotia. Isolated maximum storm total amounts of 6 inches are
    possible in association with leslie.


    next advisory
    -------------
    next complete advisory...1100 am ast.

Page 4 of 4 FirstFirst 1234

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Tags for this Thread

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •