No pics for Costa Maya but reports aren't too bad.
'There were no reports of storm deaths or major damage, though Ernesto ripped down billboards, toppled trees and cut electricity service
as it hit the cruise ship port of Mahahual shortly before midnight Tuesday as a hurricane with sustained winds of 85 mph (140 kph). '
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
000
wtnt35 knhc 082352
tcpat5
bulletin
tropical storm ernesto intermediate advisory number 30a
nws national hurricane center miami fl al052012
700 pm cdt wed aug 08 2012
...ernesto moving slowly westward along the gulf coast of the
mexican state of campeche...squalls with heavy rainfall lashing
the state of campeche...
Summary of 700 pm cdt...0000 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...18.7n 91.5w
about 20 mi...35 km ene of ciudad del carmen mexico
maximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/h
present movement...w or 265 degrees at 7 mph...11 km/h
minimum central pressure...994 mb...29.35 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
A hurricane watch is in effect for...
* barra de nautla to coatzacoalcos
a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* celestun to barra de nautla along the gulf coast of mexico
for storm information specific to your area in the united
states...including possible inland watches and warnings...please
monitor products issued by your local national weather service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the united states...please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 700 pm cdt...0000 utc...the center of tropical storm ernesto was
located by satellite and radars from mexico to be near latitude
18.7 north...longitude 91.5 west. Ernesto is moving a little slower
toward the west at near 7 mph...11 km/h. This general motion...
Accompanied by fluctuations in forward speed...is expected to
continue for the next 48 hours. On the forecast track...the center
of ernesto will pass near or just north of ciudad del carmen mexico
this evening...move over the extreme southern bay of campeche
tonight and early thursday...and be near or over the gulf coast of
mexico in the hurricane watch area later on thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph...85 km/h...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast tonight and early thursday.
Weakening is expected after the center moves over land later on
thursday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles...220 km
from the center. During the past couple of hours...ciudad del
carmen reported sustained winds of 46 mph...74 km/h and a gust to
58 mph...93 km/h. Sustained tropical-storm-force winds are also
occurring at offshore oil rigs north of the center of ernesto.
The minimum central pressure estimated from nearby surface
observations from mexico is 994 mb...29.35 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions will continue to spread westward
across the tropical storm warning area tonight and thursday.
Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area on
thursday.
Rainfall...ernesto is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum of 12 inches
over the mexican states of tabasco and veracruz. Ernesto is
expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches
over northern belize...northern guatemala...the southern yucatan
peninsula. These rains may produce life threatening flash floods
and mud slides over higher terrain areas.
Storm surge...a storm surge of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels
is likely in areas of onshore winds in the warning area along the
gulf coast of mexico. Near the coast...the surge will be
accompanied by large and dangerous waves.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1000 pm cdt.
$$
forecaster stewart
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
000
wtnt35 knhc 091439
tcpat5
bulletin
tropical storm ernesto advisory number 33
nws national hurricane center miami fl al052012
1000 am cdt thu aug 09 2012
...ernesto hanging around near the coast of mexico...expected to
move inland soon bringing torrential rains and flooding...
Summary of 1000 am cdt...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...18.2n 94.3w
about 5 mi...10 km e of coatzacoalcos mexico
about 140 mi...230 km ese of veracruz mexico
maximum sustained winds...60 mph...95 km/h
present movement...w or 260 degrees at 10 mph...17 km/h
minimum central pressure...992 mb...29.29 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...
The government of mexico has changed the hurricane warning from
veracruz to chilitepec to a tropical storm warning...and
discontinued all other coastal waches and warnings.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* veracruz to chilitepec mexico
for storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
data from a reconnaissance plane indicate that the center of ernesto
is very near or over the coast of mexico. At 1000 am cdt...1500
utc...the center of the tropical cyclone was located near latitude
18.2 north...longitude 94.3 west. Ernesto is moving toward the west
near 10 mph...17 km/h. A general motion toward the west or
west-southwest is expected during the next day or two. On the
forecast track...ernesto will be moving over southern mexico today
and friday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph...95 km/h...with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours as the center
of ernesto moves over the high terrain of mexico.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles...220 km
from the center.
The minimum central pressure reported by a reconnaissance aircraft
was 992 mb...29.29 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions will continue to spread westward
across the tropical storm warning area today.
Rainfall...ernesto is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15
inches over the mexican states of veracruz...tabasco...puebla...and
oaxaca through friday. These rains may produce life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides over areas of higher terrain.
Storm surge...a storm surge of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels
is possible in areas of onshore winds in the warning area along the
gulf coast of mexico. Near the coast...the surge will be accompanied
by large and dangerous waves.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...100 pm cdt.
Next complete advisory...400 pm cdt.
$$
forecaster avila
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
Second landfall on Tabasc coast. Very rare
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
I was very happy to read that first line, and I hope their power returns soon.Originally Posted by sue miller
Mindy
CLF Research Diva!
000
wtnt35 knhc 092035
tcpat5
bulletin
tropical storm ernesto advisory number 34
nws national hurricane center miami fl al052012
400 pm cdt thu aug 09 2012
...ernesto made landfall around 100 pm cdt near the city of
coatzacoalcos mexico with 60 mph winds...
Summary of 400 pm cdt...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...18.1n 95.2w
about 55 mi...85 km w of coatzacoalcos mexico
about 100 mi...160 km se of veracruz mexico
maximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/h
present movement...w or 265 degrees at 10 mph...17 km/h
minimum central pressure...993 mb...29.32 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* veracruz to chilitepec mexico
for storm information specific to your ...please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
after making landfall near coatzacoalcos at 1800 utc...1 pm
cdt...ernesto has continued moving inland...and at 400 pm
cdt...2100 utc...the center was located near latitude 18.1
north...longitude 95.2 west. Ernesto is moving toward the west near
10 mph...17 km/h...and this motion is expected to continue for the
next day or two. On the forecast track...ernesto will be moving
over southern mexico tonight and friday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph...85
km/h...with higher gusts. These strong winds are primarily
occurring over water to the north of the center. Weakening is
forecast during the next 48 hours...and ernesto is expected to
dissipate over the high mountains of southern mexico in day or two.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles...220 km
mainly to the north of the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb...29.32 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions will continue to spread westward
across the tropical storm warning area and near the center of
ernesto this evening. These winds will gradually begin to subside
later tonight.
Rainfall...ernesto is expected to produce total additional rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches over the mexican states of
veracruz...tabasco...puebla...and oaxaca through friday night.
Isolated maximum storm total amounts of 15 inches associated with
ernesto are possible. These rains may produce life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides over areas of higher terrain.
Storm surge...a storm surge of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels
is possible in areas of onshore winds in the warning area. Near the
coast...the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.
These conditions will likely begin to subside later tonight.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...700 pm cdt.
Next complete advisory...1000 pm cdt.
$$
forecaster avila
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
092347
tcpat5
bulletin
tropical storm ernesto intermediate advisory number 34a
nws national hurricane center miami fl al052012
700 pm cdt thu aug 09 2012
...ernesto producing heavy rains across southern mexico as it moves
inland...
Summary of 700 pm cdt...0000 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...18.2n 95.8w
about 90 mi...150 km w of coatzacoalcos mexico
about 75 mi...120 km sse of veracruz mexico
maximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/h
present movement...w or 270 degrees at 11 mph...18 km/h
minimum central pressure...996 mb...29.41 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* veracruz to chilitepec mexico
for storm information specific to your...please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 700 pm cdt...0000 utc...the center of tropical storm erneso was
located near latitude 18.2 north...longitude 95.8 west. Ernesto is
moving toward the west near 11 mph...18 km/h...and this motion is
expected to continue for the next day or two. On the forecast
track...ernesto will continue moving inland over southern mexico
tonight and friday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph...75 km/h...
With higher gusts. These strong winds are primarily occurring over
water to the northeast of the center. Weakening is forecast during
the next 48 hours...and ernesto is expected to dissipate over the
high terrain of southern mexico in day or two.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 120 miles...195 km
mainly to the northeast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb...29.41 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions will continue in the tropical storm
warning area and near the center of ernesto this evening. These
winds will gradually begin to subside later tonight.
Rainfall...ernesto is expected to produce total additional rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches over the mexican states of
veracruz...tabasco...puebla...and oaxaca through friday night.
Isolated maximum storm total amounts of 15 inches associated with
ernesto are possible. These rains may produce life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides over areas of higher terrain.
Storm surge...a storm surge of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels
is possible in areas of onshore winds in the warning area. Near the
coast...the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.
These conditions will likely begin to subside later tonight.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1000 pm cdt.
$$
forecaster brennan
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
000
wtnt35 knhc 100840
tcpat5
bulletin
tropical depression ernesto advisory number 36
nws national hurricane center miami fl al052012
400 am cdt fri aug 10 2012
...ernesto continuing to weaken over the mountains of mexico...heavy
rain threat continues...
Summary of 400 am cdt...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...18.0n 97.8w
about 100 mi...160 km nw of oaxaca mexico
about 135 mi...215 km sw of veracruz mexico
maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/h
present movement...w or 265 degrees at 13 mph...20 km/h
minimum central pressure...1004 mb...29.65 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 400 am cdt...0900 utc...the center of tropical depression ernesto
was located near latitude 18.0 north...longitude 97.8 west. The
depression is moving toward the west near 13 mph...20 km/h...and
this general motion should continue until the system dissipates
later today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/h...with higher
gusts. Ernesto is expected to dissipate later today as the cyclone
continues across the high terrain of southern mexico.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb...29.65 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...wind gusts to tropical-storm force will continue in a small
area near center of ernesto this morning.
Rainfall...ernesto is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 2 to 5 inches over the mexican states of
veracruz...tabasco...puebla...oaxaca...and guerrero through friday
night. Isolated maximum storm total amounts of 15 inches are
possible in association with ernesto. These rainfall amounts may
produce life threatening flash floods and mudslides.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1000 am cdt.
$$
forecaster beven
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
000
wtnt35 knhc 101434
tcpat5
bulletin
remnants of ernesto advisory number 37
nws national hurricane center miami fl al052012
1000 am cdt fri aug 10 2012
...ernesto dissipates over southern mexico...heavy
rain threat continues...
Summary of 1000 am cdt...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...18.0n 99.2w
about 215 mi...345 km wsw of veracruz mexico
maximum sustained winds...25 mph...35 km/h
present movement...w or 270 degrees at 15 mph...24 km/h
minimum central pressure...1005 mb...29.68 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
the circulation of ernesto has been disrupted by the high mountains
of southern mexico. At 1000 am cdt...1500 utc...the remnants of
ernesto were located near latitude 18.0 north...longitude 99.2
west. The remants of ernesto are forecast to move off mexico into
the eastern pacific...and have the potential to become a tropical
cyclone in a day or two.
Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph...35 km/h...with higher
gusts in passing showers.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb...29.68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall...ernesto is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 2 to 5 inches over the mexican states of
veracruz...tabasco...puebla...oaxaca...and guerrero through friday
night. Isolated maximum storm total amounts of 15 inches are
possible in association with ernesto. These rainfall amounts may
produce life threatening flash floods and mudslides.
Next advisory
-------------
this is the last public advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on this system.
$$
forecaster avila
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
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