Thread: Invest 97L South Central Caribbean

This was the 2 PM TWO for this area.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED ABOUT 350 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TRINIDAD IN THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS.
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAVE BECOME A
LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT HAS
INCREASED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...CLOUDINESS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY SPREAD OVER
NORTHERN VENEZUELA AND THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

ZCZC MIA
TWOAT ALLTT
AA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 305 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO.

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER ARUBA...CURACAO AND BONAIRE...THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF VENEZUELA...AND THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA TODAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
NNNN

Guess we need to keep up with this one too!

Couldl be . . .

Back down to 20% this afternoon

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 280 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO.

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THIS SYSTEM
HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER ARUBA...CURACAO AND
BONAIRE...THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF VENEZUELA...AND THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA TODAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...
PLEASE SEE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
NNNN

So calm for so long. Now things are picking up again. (drat it)

That's the tropics for you, Neal!

Yes, I know. That is what makes cruising this time of year so interesting!