Thread: Tropical Storm Ophelia Central Atlantic (98L)

Tropical Storm Ophelia
(again)

000
wtnt31 knhc 281430
tcpat1

bulletin
tropical storm ophelia advisory number 24
nws national hurricane center miami fl al162011
1100 am ast wed sep 28 2011

...ophelia becomes a tropical storm again...


Summary of 1100 am ast...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...18.7n 59.9w
about 215 mi...340 km e of the northern leeward islands
maximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/h
present movement...nnw or 340 degrees at 3 mph...6 km/h
minimum central pressure...1002 mb...29.59 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 am ast...1500 utc...the center of tropical storm ophelia was
located near latitude 18.7 north...longitude 59.9 west. Ophelia is
moving toward the north-northwest near 3 mph...6 km/h...and this
motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours.

Data from an air force reserve unit hurricane hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50
mph...85 km/h...with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is
forecast during the next couple of days.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles...140
km...mainly to the east of the center.

The minimum central pressure reported by the hurricane hunter
aircraft is 1002 mb...29.59 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none


next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...500 pm ast.

$$
forecaster pasch

It always happens. I stop paying attention, and something has to start brewing in the Atlantic.

Be careful, Bermuda!

Heck - This one's something like 8 days old now.
She was declared dissipated a couple of days ago, and has now regenerated.

It's been a strange season . . . very active, but fortunate at the same time. We are all the way through thh "P" storm, with only Irene being a big newsmaker. Of course, she was ceratinly enough for the folks up north.

ALL the way north! We ran into her in Iceland!

I know you did. We were watching!

000
wtnt31 knhc 290858
tcpat1

bulletin
tropical storm ophelia advisory number 27
nws national hurricane center miami fl al162011
500 am ast thu sep 29 2011

...ophelia expected to strengthen...


Summary of 500 am ast...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...20.0n 61.1w
about 180 mi...290 km ne of the northern leeward islands
maximum sustained winds...60 mph...95 km/h
present movement...nnw or 330 degrees at 7 mph...11 km/h
minimum central pressure...995 mb...29.38 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am ast...0900 utc...the center of tropical storm ophelia was
located near latitude 20.0 north...longitude 61.1 west. Ophelia is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph...11 km/h...and this
motion is expected to continue with some increase in forward speed
over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph...95 km/h...with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next 48
hours...and ophelia is forecast to become a hurricane on friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles...165
km...mainly to the east of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb...29.38 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none


next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1100 am ast.

$$
forecaster pasch

Bulletin
hurricane ophelia intermediate advisory number 31a
nws national hurricane center miami fl al162011
800 am ast fri sep 30 2011

...ophelia moving north-northwestward with 105 mph winds...


Summary of 800 am ast...1200 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...22.9n 62.7w
about 665 mi...1070 km s of bermuda
maximum sustained winds...105 mph...165 km/h
present movement...nnw or 345 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/h
minimum central pressure...970 mb...28.65 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

None.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A tropical storm watch is in effect for...
* bermuda

for storm information specific to bermuda...please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am ast...1200 utc...the center of hurricane ophelia was
located near latitude 22.9 north...longitude 62.7 west. Ophelia is
moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph...15 km/h. A turn to
the north with an increase in forward speed is expected later today.
On the forecast track...the core of ophelia is expected to pass
east of bermuda on saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph...165 km/h...
With higher gusts. Ophelia is a category two hurricane on the
saffir-simpson hurricane wind scale. Some additional strengthening
is possible during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles...45 km...from
the center...and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles...280 km...mainly to the north and east of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb...28.65 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical-storm-force winds are possible on bermuda starting
saturday afternoon.

Surf...large swells created by ophelia will cause hazardous surf
conditions along the south shore beaches of bermuda.

Rainfall...rainfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches can be expected
on bermuda in association with ophelia.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1100 am ast.

$$
forecaster avila