Thread: Hurricane Maria SSW of Newfoundland

000
wtnt34 knhc 152044
tcpat4

bulletin
hurricane maria advisory number 37
nws national hurricane center miami fl al142011
500 pm ast thu sep 15 2011

...maria becomes the third hurricane of the season...hurricane watch
and tropical storm warning issued for southeastern newfoundland...


Summary of 500 pm ast...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...35.2n 65.6w
about 205 mi...330 km nnw of bermuda
about 1025 mi...1650 km sw of cape race newfoundland
maximum sustained winds...75 mph...120 km/h
present movement...nne or 30 degrees at 36 mph...57 km/h
minimum central pressure...987 mb...29.15 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes in watches and warnings with this advisory...

Environment canada has issued a hurricane watch for the avalon
peninsula of newfoundland from arnolds cove to brigus south and a
tropical storm warning for the entire avalon peninsula from arnolds
cove to jones harbor.

The bermuda weather service has discontinued the tropical storm
warning for bermuda.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane watch is in effect for...
* newfoundland from arnolds cove to brigus south.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* newfoundland from arnolds cove to jones harbor.

A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area...in this case within 24 hours.

A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area...in this case within 24 hours.

A hurricane warning could be required for a portion of avalon
peninsula this evening.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 pm ast...2100 utc...the center of hurricane maria was located
near latitude 35.2 north...longitude 65.6 west. Maria is moving
toward the north-northeast near 36 mph...57 km/h. This motion is
expected to continue tonight...with a turn to the northeast at an
even faster forward speed expected on friday. On the forecast
track...the center of maria will pass near or over the avalon
peninsula on friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...120
km/h...with higher gusts. Maria is a category one hurricane on the
saffir-simpson hurricane wind scale. Sadditional strengthening is
possible overnight before weakening likely begins later on friday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 240
miles...390 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb...29.15 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the
warning area on friday morning. Hurricane conditions are possible
in the watch area by friday afternoon.

Rainfall...rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches can be expected across
southeastern newfoundland associated with maria.

Storm surge...coastal flooding is expected near and to the east of
where the center makes landfall. Near the coast...the surge will
be accompanied by large and destructive waves.


Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...800 pm ast.
Next complete advisory...1100 pm ast.

$$
forecaster blake/beven

000
wtnt34 knhc 160541
tcpat4

bulletin
hurricane maria intermediate advisory number 38a
nws national hurricane center miami fl al142011
200 am ast fri sep 16 2011

...hurricane warning issued for portions of newfoundland...


Summary of 200 am ast...0600 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...40.0n 62.0w
about 640 mi...1030 km sw of cape race newfoundland
maximum sustained winds...80 mph...130 km/h
present movement...ne or 35 degrees at 44 mph...70 km/h
minimum central pressure...984 mb...29.06 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes in watches and warnings with this advisory...

environment canada has replaced the hurricane watch and tropical
storm warning with a hurricane warning for the coast of
newfoundland from arnolds cove to brigus south. The tropical storm
warning has been extended northward from jones harbour to
charlottetown and westward from arnolds cove to stones cove.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a hurricane warning is in effect for...
* newfoundland from arnolds cove to brigus south

a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* newfoundland from stones cove to arnolds cove and from brigus
south to charlottetown

a hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area...in this case within the next 12
to 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area...in this case within the next 12
to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by environment canada.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 am ast...0600 utc...the center of hurricane maria was located
near latitude 40.0 north...longitude 62.0 west. Maria is moving
toward the northeast near 44 mph...70 km/h. This general motion
accompanied by a steady increase in forward speed is expected
through the day. On the forecast track...the center of maria
should pass near or over the avalon peninsula this afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph...130 km/h...with higher
gusts. Maria is a category one hurricane on the saffir-simpson
hurricane wind scale. little change in strength is expected before
maria moves over or near the avalon peninsula this afternoon.

hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km...from
the center...and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to
205 miles...335 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb...29.06 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are expected to begin across
southeastern newfoundland within the warning area later this
morning. hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane
warning area by midday.

rainfall...rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches can be expected across
southeastern newfoundland in association with maria.

Storm surge...coastal flooding is expected near and to the east of
where the center makes landfall. Near the coast...the surge will
be accompanied by large and destructive waves.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...500 am ast.

$$
forecaster berg/avila

000
wtnt34 knhc 161155
tcpat4

bulletin
hurricane maria intermediate advisory number 39a
nws national hurricane center miami fl al142011
800 am ast fri sep 16 2011

...winds already increasing over the avalon peninsula...


Summary of 800 am ast...1200 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...42.6n 58.2w
about 375 mi...605 km sw of cape race newfoundland
maximum sustained winds...80 mph...130 km/h
present movement...ne or 35 degrees at 45 mph...72 km/h
minimum central pressure...979 mb...28.91 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes in watches and warnings with this advisory...

None.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a hurricane warning is in effect for...
* newfoundland from arnolds cove to brigus south

a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* newfoundland from stones cove to arnolds cove and from brigus
south to charlottetown

a hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area...in this case within the next 12
hours or so. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area...in this case within the next 12
to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by environment canada.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am ast...1200 utc...the center of hurricane maria was located
near latitude 42.6 north...longitude 58.2 west. Maria is moving
toward the northeast near 45 mph...72 km/h. This general motion
with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected during the
day...followed by a turn toward the north-northeast and additional
acceleration by tonight. On the forecast track...the center of
maria should pass near or over extreme southeastern newfoundland
this afternoon.

maximum sustained winds remain near 80 mph...130 km/h...with higher
gusts. Maria is a category one hurricane on the saffir-simpson
hurricane wind scale. Little change in strength is expected before
maria moves over southeastern newfoundland later today. Some
weakening is anticipated by tonight...and maria could be absorbed
within a frontal zone by saturday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles...335 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb...28.91 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are expected to begin across
southeastern newfoundland within the warning area later this
morning. Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane
warning area by midday.

Rainfall...rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches can be expected across
southeastern newfoundland in association with maria.

Storm surge...coastal flooding is expected near and to the east of
where the center makes landfall. Near the coast...the surge will
be accompanied by large and destructive waves.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1100 am ast.

$$
forecaster blake/beven