000
wtpz32 knhc 162033
tcpep2
bulletin
tropical depression seven-e advisory number 1
nws national hurricane center miami fl ep072011
200 pm pdt tue aug 16 2011
...new tropical depression forms off the coast of southern mexico...
Summary of 200 pm pdt...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...13.8n 99.6w
about 215 mi...345 km s of acapulco mexico
maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/h
present movement...wnw or 290 degrees at 13 mph...20 km/h
minimum central pressure...1006 mb...29.71 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
none.
Interests along the coast of southern and southwestern mexico should
monitor the progress of the depression.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 pm pdt...2100 utc...the center of tropical depression seven-e
was located near latitude 13.8 north...longitude 99.6 west. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph...20
km/h. An increase in forward speed is expected over the next day or
two. On this track...the center of the depression is expected to
remain well offshore the coast of mexico.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/h...with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. The
depression could become a tropical storm later tonight and then a
hurricane by thursday.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall...locally heavy rains are possible along the coasts of the
mexican states of oaxaca...guerrero...and michoacan during the next
couple of days.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...800 pm pdt.
$$
forecaster berg
000
wtpz32 knhc 170832
tcpep2
bulletin
tropical storm greg advisory number 3
nws national hurricane center miami fl ep072011
200 am pdt wed aug 17 2011
...depression becomes tropical storm greg...
Summary of 200 am pdt...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...15.8n 102.2w
about 135 mi...220 km ssw of zihuatanejo mexico
about 260 mi...420 km sse of manzanillo mexico
maximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/h
present movement...wnw or 300 degrees at 16 mph...26 km/h
minimum central pressure...1004 mb...29.65 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 am pdt...0900 utc...the center of tropical storm greg was
located near latitude 15.8 north...longitude 102.2 west. Greg is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph...26 km/h. This
general motion with a slight increase in forward speed is forecast
over the next day or so. On this track...the center of greg is
expected to remain well offshore of the coast of southern mexico.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph...65
km/h...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected and
greg is forecast to become a hurricane on thursday.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb...29.65 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall...locally heavy rains are possible along the coasts of the
mexican states of guerrero and michoacan during the next
day or so.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...800 am pdt.
$$
forecaster cangialosi
000
wtpz32 knhc 171443
tcpep2
bulletin
tropical storm greg advisory number 4
nws national hurricane center miami fl ep072011
800 am pdt wed aug 17 2011
...greg strengthening as it moves parallel to the pacific coast of
mexico...
Summary of 800 am pdt...1500 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...16.7n 104.2w
about 185 mi...300 km wsw of zihuatanejo mexico
about 160 mi...255 km s of manzanillo mexico
maximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/h
present movement...wnw or 300 degrees at 21 mph...33 km/h
minimum central pressure...1000 mb...29.53 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am pdt...1500 utc...the center of tropical storm greg was
located near latitude 16.7 north...longitude 104.2 west. Greg is
moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph...33 km/h...and this
general motion is expected to continue with a decrease in forward
speed during the next 48 hours. On this track...the center of greg
is expected to remain well offshore of the coast of southern
mexico.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph...85 km/h...
With higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next day or two...and greg is forecast to become a hurricane on
thursday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb...29.53 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall...locally heavy rains are possible along the coasts of the
mexican states of guerrero...michoacan...colima...and jalisco during
the next day or so.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...200 pm pdt.
$$
forecaster beven
000
wtpz32 knhc 180235
tcpep2
bulletin
hurricane greg advisory number 6
nws national hurricane center miami fl ep072011
800 pm pdt wed aug 17 2011
...greg becomes a hurricane as it moves farther away from
southwest mexico...
Summary of 800 pm pdt...0300 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...17.5n 108.3w
about 280 mi...455 km wsw of manzanillo mexico
about 385 mi...625 km sse of the southern tip of baja california
maximum sustained winds...75 mph...120 km/h
present movement...wnw or 285 degrees at 22 mph...35 km/h
minimum central pressure...987 mb...29.15 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 pm pdt...0300 utc...the center of hurricane greg was located
near latitude 17.5 north...longitude 108.3 west. Greg is moving
toward the west-northwest near 22 mph...35 km/h...and this
motion is expected to continue tonight and early thursday with
a gradual decrease in forward speed. A turn toward the west is
forecast late thursday or friday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...120
km/h...with higher gusts. Greg is a category one hurricane on the
saffir-simpson hurricane wind scale. Some additional strengthening
is forecast tonight and thursday. Weakening is expected to begin
by friday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles...30 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80
miles...130 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb...29.15 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...200 am pdt.
$$
forecaster brown
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