Thread: Tropical Storm Gert - Degenerating

Zczc miatcpat2 allttaa00 knhc ddhhmm bulletin
tropical depression seven advisory number 1
nws national hurricane center miami fl al072011
1100 pm edt sat aug 13 2011

...new tropical depression forms southeast of bermuda...tropicalstorm watch issued for bermuda...

Summary of 1100 pm edt...0300 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...27.9n 61.6wabout 360 mi...580 km sse of bermuda
maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/h
present movement...wnw or 290 degrees at 10 mph...17 km/h
minimum central pressure...1011 mb...29.85 inches

watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisor
y... the government of bermuda has issued a tropical storm watch forbermuda.

summary of watches and warnings in effect... A tropical storm watch is in effect for...* bermuda a tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions arepossible within the watch area...generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area...please monitorproducts issued by your national meteorological service.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 pm edt...0300 utc...the center of tropical depression sevenwas located near latitude 27.9 north...longitude 61.6 west. Thedepression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph...17km/h. A gradual turn toward the north is forecast during the next48 hours.

On the forecast track...the center of the depressionwill approach bermuda on sunday and pass near or east of bermudasunday night or monday.

maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/h...with highergusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48hours...and the depression could become a tropical storm on sunday. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb...29.85 inches.

Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are possible on bermuda sunday night or monday.

Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...200 am edt.next complete advisory...500 am edt.

$$
forecaster beven
nnnn

Atlantic Tropical Depression SEVEN Advisory Number 2
08/14/2011 04:31 AM EDT



000
WTNT32 KNHC 140831
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072011
500 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET...MOVING
TOWARD BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.5N 62.4W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE
DEPRESSION WILL APPROACH BERMUDA TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA TONIGHT OR
EARLY MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN

000
wtnt32 knhc 141140
tcpat2

bulletin
tropical depression seven intermediate advisory number 2a
nws national hurricane center miami fl al072011
800 am edt sun aug 14 2011

...depression makes a slight jog to the west but still moving
toward bermuda...


Summary of 800 am edt...1200 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...28.1n 62.9w
about 300 mi...480 km sse of bermuda
maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/h
present movement...wnw or 285 degrees at 10 mph...17 km/h
minimum central pressure...1010 mb...29.83 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

None.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A tropical storm watch is in effect for...
* bermuda

a tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area...in this case within 24 to 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am edt...1200 utc...the center of tropical depression seven
was located near latitude 28.1 north...longitude 62.9 west. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph...17
km/h. A gradual turn toward the northwest is expected later
today...followed by a turn to the north late tonight or monday. On
the forecast track...the center of the depression will approach
bermuda tonight or early monday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph...55 km/h...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of
days...and the depression could become a tropical storm later today
or tonight. An air force reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the depression this afternoon.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb...29.83 inches...based
on recent noaa buoy reports.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are possible on bermuda tonight or
early monday.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1100 am edt.

$$
forecaster stewart

Tropical Storm Gert

Atlantic Tropical Storm GERT Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
08/14/2011 01:53 PM EDT



000
WTNT32 KNHC 141753
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GERT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072011
200 PM AST SUN AUG 14 2011

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE SEVENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE
SEASON SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 63.1W
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT OR MONDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GERT WILL APPROACH BERMUDA TONIGHT
OR EARLY MONDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...
MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

000
wtnt32 knhc 142041
tcpat2

bulletin
tropical storm gert advisory number 4
nws national hurricane center miami fl al072011
500 pm ast sun aug 14 2011

...gert slowly strengthening as it moves toward bermuda...


Summary of 500 pm ast...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...28.9n 63.2w
about 255 mi...410 km sse of bermuda
maximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/h
present movement...nnw or 335 degrees at 8 mph...13 km/h
minimum central pressure...1008 mb...29.77 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

None.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* bermuda

a tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within
the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 pm ast...2100 utc...the center of tropical storm gert was
located near latitude 28.9 north...longitude 63.2 west. Gert is
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph...13 km/h. A gradual
turn toward the north is expected later tonight or monday morning.
On the forecast track...the center of gert is expected to pass near
or just east of bermuda by monday afternoon.

Reports from an air force reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate
that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph...75
km/h...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km..
Mainly east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb...29.77 inches...
Based on recent reports from a reconnaissance aircraft.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are expected on bermuda late
tonight or early monday.

Rainfall...gert is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches on bermuda.

Surf...large swells generated by gert will begin to affect bermuda
later tonight and on monday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...800 pm ast.
Next complete advisory...1100 pm ast.

$$
forecaster stewart

000
wtnt32 knhc 150231
tcpat2

bulletin
tropical storm gert advisory number 5
nws national hurricane center miami fl al072011
1100 pm ast sun aug 14 2011

...gert moving faster...expected to pass near bermuda on monday...


Summary of 1100 pm ast...0300 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...30.2n 63.3w
about 170 mi...275 km sse of bermuda
maximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/h
present movement...nnw or 345 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/h
minimum central pressure...1008 mb...29.77 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

None.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* bermuda

a tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within
the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area ...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 pm ast...0300 utc...the center of tropical storm gert was
located near latitude 30.2 north...longitude 63.3 west. Gert is
moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph...19 km/h...and a turn
to the north and then north-northeast with an additional increase in
forward speed is expected over the next day or two. On the
forecast track...the center of gert is expected to pass near
or just east of bermuda on monday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph...75 km/h...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km
mainly to the east of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb...29.77 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are expected on bermuda by late
tonight or early on monday.

Rainfall...gert is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches on bermuda.

Surf...large swells generated by gert will begin to affect bermuda
late tonight or early on monday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...200 am ast.
Next complete advisory...500 am ast.

$$
forecaster pasch/kimberlain