Thread: Tropical Depression Harvey - over Mexico

000
wtnt33 knhc 200853
tcpat3

bulletin
tropical storm harvey advisory number 6
nws national hurricane center miami fl al082011
400 am cdt sat aug 20 2011

...harvey very near roatan...producing heavy rains on the bay
islands...


Summary of 400 am cdt...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...16.4n 86.5w
about 10 mi...15 km ne of isla roatan honduras
about 135 mi...220 km se of belize city
maximum sustained winds...60 mph...95 km/h
present movement...w or 275 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/h
minimum central pressure...994 mb...29.35 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

The government of guatemala has changed the tropical storm watch to
a tropical storm warning for the coast of guatemala.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* the bay islands of honduras
* the coast of honduras from punta patuca westward
* the coast of guatemala
* the coast of belize
* the coast of mexico from punta gruesa southward to chetumal

hurricane conditions are possible along a portion of the coast of
belize later today.

A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within
the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 400 am cdt...0900 utc...the center of tropical storm harvey was
located near latitude 16.4 north...longitude 86.5 west. Harvey is
moving toward the west near 12 mph...19 km/h...and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight with some increase in forward
speed on sunday. On the forecast track...the center of harvey is
forecast to move away from the bay islands of honduras during the
morning and move inland along the coast of belize this afternoon or
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph...95 km/h...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast...and harvey could become a
hurricane before it moves inland this afternoon or tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles...65 km
from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb...29.35 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical-storm-force winds are expected over the bay islands
and along the northern coast of honduras during the morning and into
the afternoon. Tropical-storm-force winds are also expected along
the coasts of guatemala...belize...and the southeastern yucatan
peninsula of mexico by this afternoon. Hurricane-force winds are
possible along a portion of the coast of belize this afternoon or
tonight.

Rainfall...harvey is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches across honduras...guatemala...
Belize...and the yucatan peninsula of mexico...with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides...especially over
higher terrain.

Storm surge...a storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2
to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the coast near and to the
north of where harvey makes landfall. Near the coast...the surge
will be accompanied by large and damaging waves.


Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...700 am cdt.
Next complete advisory...1000 am cdt.

$$
forecaster berg/stewart

000
wtnt33 knhc 201156
tcpat3

bulletin
tropical storm harvey intermediate advisory number 6a
nws national hurricane center miami fl al082011
700 am cdt sat aug 20 2011

...center of harvey now northwest of roatan...hurricane hunter
aircraft approaching the storm...


Summary of 700 am cdt...1200 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...16.6n 87.0w
about 35 mi...55 km wnw of isla roatan honduras
about 105 mi...170 km se of belize city
maximum sustained winds...60 mph...95 km/h
present movement...w or 275 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/h
minimum central pressure...994 mb...29.35 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

The government of mexico has discontinued the tropical storm warning
for the southeastern coast of the yucatan peninsula.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* the bay islands of honduras
* the coast of honduras from punta patuca westward
* the coast of guatemala
* the coast of belize

hurricane conditions are possible along a portion of the coast of
belize later today.

A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within
the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 700 am cdt...1200 utc...the center of tropical storm harvey was
located near latitude 16.6 north...longitude 87.0 west. Harvey is
moving toward the west near 12 mph...19 km/h...and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight with some increase in forward
speed on sunday. On the forecast track...the center of harvey is
forecast to move away from the bay islands of honduras during the
next few hours and move inland along the coast of belize this
afternoon or tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph...95 km/h...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast...and harvey could become a
hurricane before it moves inland this afternoon or tonight. An air
force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is currently approaching
harvey.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles...65 km
from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb...29.35 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical-storm-force winds are expected over the bay islands
and along the northern coast of honduras during the morning and into
the afternoon. Tropical-storm-force winds are also expected along
the coasts of guatemala...belize...and the southeastern yucatan
peninsula of mexico by this afternoon. Hurricane-force winds are
possible along a portion of the coast of belize this afternoon or
tonight.

Rainfall...harvey is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches across honduras...guatemala...
Belize...and the yucatan peninsula of mexico...with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides...especially over
higher terrain.

Storm surge...a storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2
to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the coast near and to the
north of where harvey makes landfall. Near the coast...the surge
will be accompanied by large and damaging waves.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1000 am cdt.

$$
forecaster beven

From Roatan. Posted very early this morning:


. . . Harvey must have passed almost right over us around 2:30 AM local 2030 UTC. Minimum pressure was 995 and highest winds in the Bight were 42 knots. A lot of rain since midnight, 1.64 inches and total since yesterday is 4.1 inches. Right now we have 15 to 20 knots from the south to south east with it swinging around. I suspect Harvey is still building and moving in a more westerly direction as it passed closer to us then forecast. Presently Barometer is rising and is 1000.8 now.

point of intormation 42 knts = ~ 48 mph

000
wtnt33 knhc 201453
tcpat3

bulletin
tropical storm harvey advisory number 7
nws national hurricane center miami fl al082011
1000 am cdt sat aug 20 2011

...harvey moving westward toward belize with little change in
strength...


Summary of 1000 am cdt...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...16.8n 87.6w
about 65 mi...100 km se of belize city
about 70 mi...110 km ene of monkey river town belize
maximum sustained winds...60 mph...95 km/h
present movement...w or 280 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/h
minimum central pressure...998 mb...29.47 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

The government of honduras has discontinued the tropical storm
warning for the bay islands and for the northern coast of honduras
east of punta sal.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* the coast of honduras from punta sal westward
* the coast of guatemala
* the coast of belize

hurricane conditions are possible along a portion of the coast of
belize later today.

A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within
the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1000 am cdt...1500 utc...the center of tropical storm harvey was
located near latitude 16.8 north...longitude 87.6 west. Harvey is
moving toward the west near 12 mph...19 km/h...and this motion is
expected to continue for the next day or two. On the forecast
track...the center of harvey will move inland over belize this
afternoon...then move into northern guatemala tonight.

Reports from an air force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph...95 km/h...with
higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible today...and harvey
could become a hurricane before landfall in belize. Steady
weakening is forecast after landfall.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km
mainly to the north of the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from the hurricane hunter
aircraft data is 998 mb...29.47 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical-storm-force winds are expected along the northern
coast of honduras in the warning area through this afternoon.
Tropical-storm-force winds are also expected along the coasts of
guatemala and belize by this afternoon. Hurricane-force winds are
possible along a portion of the coast of belize this afternoon.

Rainfall...harvey is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches across honduras...guatemala...
Belize...and the yucatan peninsula of mexico...with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides...especially over
higher terrain.

Storm surge...a storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2
to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the coast near and to the
north of where harvey makes landfall. Near the coast...the surge
will be accompanied by large and damaging waves.


Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...100 pm cdt.
Next complete advisory...400 pm cdt.

$$
forecaster beven

Thanks for the updates. Like may of you, I hate it when these hurricanes are hitting places I've visited and always think of the nice folks we've met who are living there.

We are scheduled in January for port stops in Roatan and Belize.

Lulu -

CHECK THIS - http://www.cruiselinefans.com/hurric...-leewards.html

Originally Posted by LuLu

Thanks for the updates. Like may of you, I hate it when these hurricanes are hitting places I've visited and always think of the nice folks we've met who are living there.

We are scheduled in January for port stops in Roatan and Belize.

Me, too.
I hate when people see that a storm isn't going to hit the US, an just discount it out of hand because of that... There are REAL PEOPLE in those other places, too!

Originally Posted by canarymoon

Me, too.
I hate when people see that a storm isn't going to hit the US, an just discount it out of hand because of that... There are REAL PEOPLE in those other places, too!

That's why I always appreciate you and Sue tracking these hurricanes!