Thread: Invest 92L just off Africa

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INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 92, 2011, DB, O, 2011080706, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL922011
AL, 92, 2011080706, , BEST, 0, 115N, 191W, 25, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,

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An area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave is
located about 350 miles southwest of the southern cape verde
islands. Slow development of this system is possible over the next
couple of days as it moves westward at about 10 to 15 mph. This
system has a low chance...10 percent...of becoming a tropical
cyclone during the next 48 hours.

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT WED 10 AUGUST 2011
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z AUGUST 2011
TCPOD NUMBER.....11-071

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL
INVEST NEAR 18.0N 52.5W AT 13/1800Z.

Possible Saturday............

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1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 1175 MILES EAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT NEAR 20
MPH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING
MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

Problem is the way it is heading at this point ....