Thread: Invest 97E - Off Mexico

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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE AUG 2 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
EUGENE...LOCATED ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

1. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO. THE LOW IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND IT
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
INCREASE IN A DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD NEAR 5 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

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FORECASTER BERG
NNNN

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tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl

500 am pdt wed aug 3 2011

for the eastern north pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude..

the national hurricane center is issuing advisories on hurricane eugene...located about 570 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of baja california.

1. The low pressure system located approximately 225 miles southeast of acapulco mexico is producing a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms just off the coast of southern and southwestern mexico. Although a tropical depression could still form latertoday...upper-level winds appear to have become a little less conducive for development. This system has a high chance...60percent...of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph.

elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during thenext 48 hours.

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forecaster berg
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