ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
1. AN ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWESTOF TAMPA FLORIDA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED DURING THE PASTFEW HOURS. IN ADDITION...SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE DECREASED OVER THEEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTALCONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOMEADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE. THERE IS A MEDIUMCHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL ORSUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLYNORTHWARD OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THISWEATHER SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALLACROSS MOST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN FLORIDAPANHANDLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
2. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THESOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A DISORGANIZED AREAOF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OFTHIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA AND THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THENEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THISSYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS
.$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI
NNNN

LinkBack URL
About LinkBacks





Reply With Quote

Bookmarks