Thread: Tropical Storm Arlene- Bay of Campeche

000
wtnt31 knhc 300846
tcpat1

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tropical storm arlene advisory number 7
nws national hurricane center miami fl al012011
400 am cdt thu jun 30 2011

...arlene making landfall near cabo rojo mexico...


Summary of 400 am cdt...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...21.5n 97.3w
about 35 mi...55 km n of tuxpan mexico
about 60 mi...100 km se of tampico mexico
maximum sustained winds...65 mph...100 km/h
present movement...w or 270 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/h
minimum central pressure...996 mb...29.41 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

None.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of eastern mexico from barra de nautla northward to la
cruz

a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* la cruz northward to la pesca mexico
* palma sola southward to veracruz mexico

the hurricane warning will likely be discontinued later this
morning.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 400 am cdt...0900 utc...the center of tropical storm arlene was
located near latitude 21.5 north...longitude 97.3 west...or on the
coast of mexico very near cabo rojo. Arlene is moving toward the
west near 9 mph...15 km/h...and this general motion is expected to
continue today and tonight. Arlene is expected to continue moving
inland over mainland mexico today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph...100 km/h...with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast today...and arlene is expected to
dissipate on friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles...335
km...mainly to the east of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb...29.41 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall...arlene is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over eastern and northeastern
mexico...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches over
mountainous terrain. These rains could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides.

Wind...tropical storm conditions will continue to spread onshore
through this morning.

storm surge...a storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1
to 3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near
and to the north of cabo rojo. Near the coast...the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.


Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...700 am cdt.
Next complete advisory...1000 am cdt.

$$
forecaster blake/franklin

000
wtnt31 knhc 302039
tcpat1

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tropical storm arlene advisory number 9
nws national hurricane center miami fl al012011
400 pm cdt thu jun 30 2011

...arlene expected to weaken to a tropical depression during the
next few hours...


Summary of 400 pm cdt...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...21.3n 98.3w
about 60 mi...100 km wnw of tuxpan mexico
about 65 mi...110 km ssw of tampico mexico
maximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/h
present movement...wsw or 255 degrees at 7 mph...11 km/h
minimum central pressure...1000 mb...29.53 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

The government of mexico has discontinued the tropical storm warning
for the coast of mexico north of tampico and south of barra de
nautla.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* tampico mexico southward to barra de nautla mexico

for storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 400 pm cdt...2100 utc...the center of tropical storm arlene was
located near latitude 21.3 north...longitude 98.3 west. Arlene is
moving toward the west-southwest near 7 mph...11 km/h...and this
general motion should continue for the next day or so. On the
forecast track...the center of arlene will move farther inland over
mainland mexico this evening.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph...
65 km/h...with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast...and
arlene is expected to weaken to a tropical depression this evening
and dissipate over central mexico friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles...140 km
mainly over water to the east of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb...29.53 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall...arlene is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over eastern and northeastern
mexico...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches over
mountainous terrain. These rains could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides.

Wind...tropical storm conditions will continue to spread inland
through portions of eastern mexico this afternoon and evening.

Storm surge...storm surge along the coast of mexico should subside
tonight and friday.


Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...700 pm cdt.
Next complete advisory...1000 pm cdt.

$$
forecaster beven

000
wtnt31 knhc 010236
tcpat1

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remnants of arlene advisory number 10
nws national hurricane center miami fl al012011
1000 pm cdt thu jun 30 2011

...arlene dissipates over the sierra madre mountains of mexico...


summary of 1000 pm cdt...0300 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...20.9n 99.1w
about 110 mi...175 km w of tuxpan mexico
about 120 mi...190 km sw of tampico mexico
maximum sustained winds...30 mph...45 km/h
present movement...wsw or 250 degrees at 8 mph...13 km/h
minimum central pressure...1004 mb...29.65 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
satellite and surface data indicate that arlene no longer has a
well-defined surface circulation and has dissipated.

At 1000 pm cdt...0300 utc...the remnants of arlene were estimated to
be near latitude 20.9 north...longitude 99.1 west.

The remnants were moving west-southwestward near 8 mph...13
km/h...and this motion should continue for the next day or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph...45 km/h...with higher
gusts. Winds associated with the remnants are expected to decrease
during the next day or so.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb...29.65 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall...arlene is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over eastern and northeastern
mexico through friday afternoon. These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.


Next advisory
-------------
this is the last public advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on this system.

$$
forecaster cangialosi/brown

000
abnt20 knhc 010531
twoat

tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl
200 am edt fri jul 1 2011

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

the national hurricane center has issued the last advisory on
arlene. The remnants of arlene are located inland over mexico
about 120 miles southwest of tampico.

tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster cangialosi