Zczc miatwoep all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
special tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl
230 am pdt sun jun 19 2011
for the eastern north pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude..
1. During the past few hours...thunderstorm activity has increased and
become better organized near the center of a large low pressure
system that is located about 280 miles south-southeast of
acapulco... And a tropical depression may be forming. If this
recent development trend continues...then advisories could be
initiated on this system later this morning. There is a high
chance...90 percent...of this low pressure area becoming a tropical
cyclone during the next 24 hours as it moves west-northwestward at
about 10 mph. Interests along the southwestern coast of mexico
should monitor the progress of this large disturbance since it
could bring strong gusty winds and heavy rains to the region during
the next couple of days.
Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
$$
forecaster stewart
nnnn
000
wtpz32 knhc 191434
tcpep2
bulletin
tropical depression two-e advisory number 1
nws national hurricane center miami fl ep022011
800 am pdt sun jun 19 2011
...new tropical depression forms...watches and warnings issued for
portions of the coast of mexico...
Summary of 800 am pdt...1500 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...13.7n 99.9w
about 200 mi...320 km ssw of punto maldonado mexico
about 335 mi...540 km sse of lazaro cardenas mexico
maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/h
present movement...wnw or 295 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/h
minimum central pressure...1006 mb...29.71 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...
The government of mexico has issued a tropical storm warning for the
coast of mexico from tecpan de galeana westward to punta san telmo.
The government of mexico has issued a hurricane watch for the coast
of mexico from zihuatanejo westward to manzanillo.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
A hurricane watch is in effect for...
* the coast of mexico from zihuatanejo westward to manzanillo
a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* the coast of mexico from tecpan de galeana westward to punta san
telmo
a tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds...conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am pdt...1500 utc...the center of tropical depression two-e
was located near latitude 13.7 north...longitude 99.9 west. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph...15 km/h.
A turn toward the northwest and then toward the north-northwest is
expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track...the
center is expected to approach the coast within the hurricane watch
area late monday or early tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/h...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours...
And the depression is expected to become a tropical storm by tonight
and be near hurricane strength by early tuesday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by monday morning. Hurricane
conditions are possible within the watch area by monday night or
early tuesday.
Rainfall...the depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 6 to 8 inches along the southwestern coast of
mexico...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches over
mountainous terrain. These rains could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...1100 am pdt.
Next complete advisory...200 pm pdt.
$$
forecaster brennan
Last edited by canarymoon; 06-19-2011 at 11:36 AM.
000
wtpz32 knhc 200840
tcpep2
bulletin
tropical storm beatriz advisory number 4
nws national hurricane center miami fl ep022011
200 am pdt mon jun 20 2011
...beatriz getting better organized and strengthening off of the
south-central coast of mexico...
...hurricane watch and warning extended northward along the coast...
Summary of 200 am pdt...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...15.7n 102.6w
about 155 mi...245 km ssw of zihuatanejo mexico
about 255 mi...410 km sse of manzanillo mexico
maximum sustained winds...60 mph...95 km/h
present movement...nw or 315 degrees at 10 mph...17 km/h
minimum central pressure...997 mb...29.44 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...
The government of mexico has extended the hurricane warning
northward to la fortuna.
A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning have been issued from
north of la fortuna to cabo corrientes.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of mexico from zihuatanejo northwestward to la fortuna
a hurricane watch is in effect for...
* the coast of mexico from north of la fortuna northward to cabo
corrientes.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* the coast of mexico from tecpan de galeana westward to east of
zihuatanejo...and from north of la fortuna to cabo corrientes.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion within the hurricane warning area.
For storm information specific to your area ...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 am pdt...0900 utc...the center of tropical storm beatriz was
located near latitude 15.7 north...longitude 102.6 west. Beatriz is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph...17 km/h...and this general
motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the
next day or two. On the forecast track...the center of beatriz is
expected to approach the coast within the hurricane warning area by
late this evening or early tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph...95
km/h...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is likely
during the next 48 hours...and beatriz is forecast to become a
hurricane later today. An air force reserve unit reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the tropical storm later today
and provide a better estimate of its strength.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb...29.44 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within
the hurricane warning area by late monday or early tuesday.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast
within the hurricane warning area on monday...making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.
Rainfall...beatriz is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 6 to 8 inches along the coasts of the states of jalisco...
Colima...and michoacan in southwestern mexico...with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches over mountainous terrain.
These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud
slides.
Storm surge...a storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds within the hurricane warning area. Near
the coast...the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive
waves.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...500 am pdt.
Next complete advisory...800 am pdt.
$$
forecaster stewart/kimberlain
Beatriz is very clost to hurricane strength at this time.
A Hurricane Hunter aircraft is in the storm now and they MAY find a hurricne.
The coast of Mexico is already being affected, and there could be flooding and mudslides.
000
wtpz32 knhc 202040
tcpep2
bulletin
tropical storm beatriz advisory number 6
nws national hurricane center miami fl ep022011
200 pm pdt mon jun 20 2011
...beatriz near hurricane strength...hurricane warning extended
northwestward to cabo corrientes...
Summary of 200 pm pdt...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...17.0n 103.1w
about 90 mi...145 km sw of lazaro cardenas mexico
about 160 mi...255 km sse of manzanillo mexico
maximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/h
present movement...nnw or 330 degrees at 8 mph...13 km/h
minimum central pressure...989 mb...29.21 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...
The government of mexico has extended the hurricane warning
northwestward from la fortuna to cabo corrientes.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of mexico from zihuatanejo northwestward to cabo
corrientes
a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* the coast of mexico from tecpan de galeana westward to east of
zihuatanejo
for storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 pm pdt...2100 utc...the center of tropical storm beatriz was
located near latitude 17.0 north...longitude 103.1 west. Beatriz is
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph...13 km/h. A
north-northwestward or northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected in the next 36 hours. On the forecast
track...the center of beatriz will approach the coast within the
hurricane warning area tonight or early tuesday. However...any
deviation to the right of the forecast track could bring the center
onshore in the warning area.
Data from an air force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph...110
km/h...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is likely
during the next 36 hours...and beatriz is forecast to become a
hurricane tonight.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles...165 km
from the center.
The latest minimum central pressure measured by the hurricane hunter
aircraft was 989 mb...29.21 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within
the hurricane warning area tonight. Tropical storm conditions are
expected to first reach the coast within the hurricane warning area
in the next few hours...making outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
Rainfall...beatriz is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 6 to 12 inches along the coasts of the states of guerrero...
Jalisco...colima...and michoacan in southwestern mexico...with
possible isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches over mountainous
terrain. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides.
Storm surge...a storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds within the hurricane warning area. Near
the coast...the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive
waves.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...500 pm pdt.
Next complete advisory...800 pm pdt.
$$
forecaster brennan
Hurricane Beatriz Pounds Mexican Coast
MANZANILLO, Mexico -- Heavy rains and strong winds from Hurricane Beatriz pounded resorts and beaches on Mexico's Pacific coast late Monday, flooding streets as authorities closed popular tourist ports in the storm's path.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center said Beatriz's winds grew to a hurricane-force 75 mph (120 kph) and the storm would move near or over the coast of Mexico overnight.
A hurricane warning was issued Monday night from the resort city of Zihuatanejo northwest to Cabo Corrientes. Watches and tropical storm warnings went out for other parts of the coast. Ports were closed in Acapulco, Manzanillo and Zihuatanejo.
Beatriz was located about 85 miles (140 kms) southeast of Manzanillo late Monday night and was moving northwest at 12 mph (19 kph).
A light rain was falling in Manzanillo, where the hurricane was expected to arrive early Tuesday, but people mostly went about their business, waiting for buses and shuttling to and from work. The eye of the storm is expected to pass within 37 miles (60 kms) of the beach town on Tuesday.
Manzanillo authorities sent out recommendations to hotels to tell guests not to go to the beach. But many tourists were hanging out at the beach anyway on Monday afternoon.
"There's a lot of wind," said Carmen Lopez, a 40-year-old Mexican tourist vacationing in Manzanillo with about 15 family members from Guadalajara, three hours' drive inland. "I'm kind of scared ... but we're staying here in the hotel for our vacation."
The Esquivias family of Concord, California, which arrived Monday for their vacation, said they weren't worried about an impending hurricane at all.
"A lot of people are saying it isn't true," said Sandra Esquivias, 15.
Story continues below
Farther south along the coast in Zihuatanejo, civil protection officials ordered the port closed completely and authorized five shelters in case of floods or mudslides.
Some streets and avenues in the tourist district and downtown were flooded Monday night.
The Tides hotel advised its guests to remain in their rooms if possible and take precautions from rain and wind, receptionist Dulce Miranda said.
In Acapulco, the ports were closed.
Mexican soldiers and marines were deployed on a rescue mission in case homes needed to be evacuated in Acapulco, federal officials said Monday.
Authorities say 100 homes were flooded, 20 trees fell and some avenues in the touristic district were also flooded because of the heavy rains. About 30 parked vehicles were swept by the current.
Tourist Arturo Olayo, of the city of Puebla, was injured when a tree fell over him. He was transported to the hospital. His condition is unknown.
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
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