Thread: invest 93L Gulf of Mexico

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF
JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH.
THE LOW CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A CONCENTRATED AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM BEFORE IT MOVES OVER
NORTHERN FLORIDA LATER TODAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS
DISTURBANCE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

It is Orange, and right off shore from us. Slight possibility it could be classified as a TD before coming ashore, but thre's not a lot of time.

Anothr possibility is that is could cross over, and get in the gulf. Water is plenty warm there.

Special marine warning
amz550-552-570-572-011615-
/o.new.kmlb.ma.w.0039.110601t1417z-110601t1615z/

bulletin - immediate broadcast requested
special marine warning
national weather service melbourne fl
1017 am edt wed jun 1 2011

the national weather service in melbourne has issued a

* special marine warning for the coastal waters...

From flagler beach to cape canaveral out to 20 nm.

From 20 to 60 nm offshore flagler beach to the volusia brevard
county line.

From 20 to 60 nm offshore the volusia brevard county line to
cape canaveral.

* until 1215 pm edt

* at 1015 am edt...national weather service doppler radar indicated a
cluster of thunderstorms...producing strong winds over 34 knots
and frequent lightning strikes across the coastal waters 40 to 60
miles offshore the canaveral national seashore...moving southwest
at 20 knots.

*the thunderstorms will spread towards the coast between flagler
beach and cape canaveral through midday.

tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl
200 pm edt wed jun 1 2011

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

A small area of low pressure located just to the east of daytona
beach florida is moving west-southwestward near 20 mph with
associated shower and thunderstorm activity spreading over portions
of northern and central florida. Significant development of this
system is not anticipated while it moves over land today and
tonight...and environmental conditions are only marginally
favorable for development over the northern gulf of mexico on
thursday. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over
north-central florida through tonight. There is a low chance...20
percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours. For additional information on this system...please
see products from your local national weather service office.

Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the southwestern and
west-central caribbean sea are associated with a broad surface
trough. Some gradual development of this system is possible once
upper-level winds become a little more conducive late thursday and
friday. There is a low chance...10 percent...of this system
becoming a tropical cyclone as it moves little during the next 48
hours.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

93L made it across Florida, and is in the Gulf today, but the NHC gives it almost no chance of development.
However ... NOTE a new area of disturbed weather has joined 93L on the map. At this time, they are looking for some possible SLOW development from it. In the meantime, cruises with destinations in the Western Caribbean might be sailing under less than sunny skies at least part of the time.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU JUN 2 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO IS
PRODUCING AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTENDS SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF LOUISIANA. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
20 TO 25 MPH.

2. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE COAST OF
NICARAGUA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN