Thread: Shary going...going...gone

000
wtnt35 knhc 290252
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tropical storm shary advisory number 1
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al202010
1100 pm ast thu oct 28 2010

...yet another tropical storm forms...tropical storm watch issued
for bermuda...


Summary of 1100 pm ast...0300 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...27.3n 63.7w
about 350 mi...565 km s of bermuda
maximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/hr
present movement...nw or 310 degrees at 23 mph...37 km/hr
minimum central pressure...1004 mb...29.65 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

the bermuda weather service has issued a tropical storm watch for bermuda.

summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A tropical storm watch in in effect for...
* bermuda

for storm information specific to bermuda...please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 pm ast...0300 utc...the center of tropical storm shary was
located near latitude 27.3 north...longitude 63.7 west. Shary is
moving toward the northwest near 23 mph...37 km/hr. a turn toward
the north with a decrease in forward speed is expected early
friday...followed by a turn to the northeast friday night. On
the forecast track...the center of shary is expected to pass near or
over bermuda late friday.

maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph...65 km/hr...with higher
gusts. some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so.

tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles...165
km...to the north of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb...29.65 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are possible on bermuda by friday
afternoon.

Rainfall...shary is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over bermuda.


Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...200 am ast.
Next complete advisory...500 am ast.

$$
forecaster brown/berg

000
wtnt35 knhc 290833
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tropical storm shary advisory number 2
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al202010
500 am ast fri oct 29 2010

...shary expected to strengthen later today...tropical storm warning
issued for bermuda...


Summary of 500 am ast...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...28.5n 65.0w
about 265 mi...425 km s of bermuda
maximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/hr
present movement...nw or 325 degrees at 18 mph...30 km/hr
minimum central pressure...1004 mb...29.65 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

The bermuda weather service has issued a tropical storm warning for
bermuda.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* bermuda

a tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area...in this case within the next 12
to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to bermuda...please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am ast...0900 utc...the center of tropical storm shary was
located near latitude 28.5 north...longitude 65.0 west. Shary is
moving toward the northwest near 18 mph...30 km/hr. A turn toward
the north with a decrease in forward speed is expected later today
...followed by a turn toward the northeast tonight. On the forecast
track...the center of shary is expected to pass near or to the east
of bermuda tonight.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph...65 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast today...with weakening likely
over the weekend.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles...165 km
...mainly to the north of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb...29.65 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are expected on bermuda by this
afternoon.

Rainfall...shary is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over bermuda.


Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...800 am ast.
Next complete advisory...1100 am ast.

$$
forecaster blake/brennan

000
wtnt35 knhc 292345
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tropical storm shary intermediate advisory number 4a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al202010
800 pm ast fri oct 29 2010

...reconnaissance aircraft finds slightly stronger winds....expected
to pass east of bermuda tonight...


summary of 800 pm ast...0000 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...31.2n 64.4w
about 80 mi...130 km sse of bermuda
maximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/hr
present movement...ne or 40 degrees at 16 mph...26 km/hr
minimum central pressure...993 mb...29.32 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

None.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* bermuda

a tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area...in this case within the next
12 hours.

For storm information specific to bermuda...please monitor products
issued by the bermuda weather service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 pm ast...0000 utc...the center of tropical storm shary was
located near latitude 31.2 north...longitude 64.4 west. Shary is
moving toward the northeast near 16 mph...26 km/hr. This general
motion is expected to continue during the next 48 hours with an
increase in forward speed. On the forecast track...the center of
shary is expected to pass east of bermuda tonight.

maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph...110
km/hr...with higher gusts. little change in strength is expected
tonight...and weakening is expected to commence on saturday as the
system transitions to an extratropical low.

tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles...140 km
from the center.

An air force reserve reconnaissance aircraft reported a minimum
central pressure of 993 mb...29.32 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are expected on bermuda tonight.

Rainfall...shary is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over bermuda.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1100 pm ast.

$$
forecaster roberts/brown

000
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hurricane shary advisory number 6
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al202010
500 am ast sat oct 30 2010

...shary intensifies as it moves rapidly northeastward over the
central atlantic ocean...


Summary of 500 am ast...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...33.6n 59.4w
about 325 mi...525 km ene of bermuda
about 965 mi...1550 km ssw of cape race newfoundland
maximum sustained winds...75 mph...120 km/hr
present movement...ene or 60 degrees at 35 mph...56 km/hr
minimum central pressure...989 mb...29.21 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am ast...0900 utc...the center of hurricane shary was located
near latitude 33.6 north...longitude 59.4 west. shary is moving
toward the east-northeast near 35 mph...56 km/hr...and this general
motion is expected to continue today until the system dissipates by
late tomorrow.

Microwave data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased
to near 75 mph...120 km/hr...with higher gusts. shary is a
category one hurricane on the saffir-simpson hurricane wind scale.
Weakening is expected to commence later today...with shary likely
losing tropical characteristics early tomorrow.

shary is a small cyclone. Hurricane force winds extend outward up
to 10 miles...20 km...from the center...and tropical storm force
winds extend outward up to 105 miles...165 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb...29.21 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1100 am ast.

$$
forecaster blake

Shary is moving very quickly into cooler waters and we should see the end of her in the next day or 2.

shary racing northeastward...expected to transition to a post-tropical storm by tonight

000
wtnt35 knhc 301433
tcpat5
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hurricane shary advisory number 7
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al202010
1100 am ast sat oct 30 2010

...shary racing northeastward...expected to transition to a
post-tropical storm by tonight...


Summary of 1100 am ast...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...35.9n 55.6w
about 580 mi...935 km ene of bermuda
about 755 mi...1220 km s of cape race newfoundland
maximum sustained winds...75 mph...120 km/hr
present movement...ne or 55 degrees at 40 mph...65 km/hr
minimum central pressure...989 mb...29.21 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 1100 am ast...1500 utc...the center of hurricane shary was
located near latitude 35.9 north...longitude 55.6 west. shary is
moving toward the northeast near 40 mph...65 km/hr...and this
general motion is expected to continue until the system becomes
absorbed by a cold front in about 24 hours.

maximum sustained winds remain near 75 mph...120 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Shary is a category one hurricane on the saffir-simpson
scale. weakening is expected to commence soon...and shary will
likely lose tropical characteristics by tonight.

hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles...20 km...from
the center...and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles...165 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb...29.21 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...500 pm ast.

$$
forecaster cangialosi

Shary loses tropical characteristics...



summary of 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...information----------------------------------------------location...39.2n 50.9wabout 530 mi...855 km SSE of Cape Race Newfoundlandmaximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/hrpresent movement...NE or 50 degrees at 48 mph...78 km/hrminimum central pressure...991 mb...29.26 inches

watches and warnings--------------------there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook------------------------------at 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...the center of Shary was located nearlatitude 39.2 north...longitude 50.9 west. Shary is racing towardthe northeast near 48 mph...78 km/hr...and this general motion isexpected to continue until the system becomes absorbed by a coldfront tonight.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph...110km/hr...with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles...220 kmfrom the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb...29.26 inches.

Hazards affecting land----------------------none.

Next advisory-------------this is the last public advisory issued by the National HurricaneCenter on this system.
$$Forecaster cangialosi