Thread: TD PAULA EX Tropical Storm Paula Cuba

TV Says keys and S Miami are getting some weather from it

Not surprised we have clouds here, no rain tho.

Tropical Depression Paula

000
wtnt33 knhc 150832
tcpat3
bulletin
tropical depression paula advisory number 16
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al182010
500 am edt fri oct 15 2010

...paula weakens to a tropical depression near the north coast of
central cuba...


Summary of 500 am edt...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...23.1n 80.2w
about 65 mi...105 km e of varadero cuba
about 60 mi...100 km nw of caibarien cuba
maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
present movement...e or 85 degrees at 14 mph...22 km/hr
minimum central pressure...1008 mb...29.77 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am edt...0900 utc...the center of tropical depression paula
was located near latitude 23.1 north...longitude 80.2 west. The
depression is moving toward the east near 14 mph...22 km/hr. This
general motion is expected to continue with a decrease in forward
speed for the next 24 hours. A gradual turn toward the southeast
and south is forecast on saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph...55 km/hr...
With higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the
next 48 hours...and paula is expected to degenerate to a remnant low
pressure area by saturday.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb...29.77 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
rainfall...paula is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 1 to 2 inches over central cuba and the central
bahamas through saturday.

Storm surge...storm surge flooding along the coast of north central
cuba should subside today.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1100 am edt.

$$
forecaster beven

Last Advisory

TCDAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182010
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010

SATELLITE IMAGES...RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM CUBA INDICATE
THAT PAULA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN. THE CENTER IS NO LONGER WELL
DEFINED AND MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS VANISHED. THE REMNANT
LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD UNTIL DISSIPATION IN
ABOUT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON PAULA.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 15/1500Z 22.8N 79.5W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12HR VT 16/0000Z 22.5N 78.0W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Farewell, Paula.