Thread: HURRICANE OTTO- exTropical Storm OTTO NE of G Turk

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invest_al972010.invest
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INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 97, 2010, DB, O, 2010093006, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL972010
AL, 97, 2010092906, , BEST, 0, 127N, 356W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2010092912, , BEST, 0, 128N, 375W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2010092918, , BEST, 0, 129N, 394W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2010093000, , BEST, 0, 130N, 413W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2010093006, , BEST, 0, 131N, 432W, 25, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest

Up to 30%

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...ASSOCIATED WITH TWO TROPICAL
WAVES...IS CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THIS AREA ARE CURRENTLY
DISORGANIZED...BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AROUND 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Originally these were 2 different waves. The NHC combined them.

Aw, geeze

Originally Posted by sue miller

Originally these were 2 different waves. The NHC combined them.

I had a feeling about that when I looked at them last night ...

They are thinking maybe Bahamas then an east turn, Too early to tell tho

Another large mass

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A LARGE AND COMPLEX AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ...ASSOCIATED WITH TWOTROPICAL WAVES...EXTENDS FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES EASTWARD INTO THEATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SOME SIGNSOF ORGANIZATION...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BEMARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARDTO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUMCHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONEDURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN HONDURASACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA TO HISPANIOLA IN ASSOCIATIONWITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OFORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AREPOSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO ACROSS NORTHERN CENTRALAMERICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...JAMAICA...AND HISPANIOLA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN