Thread: Tropical Storm Lisa - East Atlantic - formerly TD14

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 18 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANEIGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA...AND ON TROPICALSTORM JULIA...LOCATED ABOUT 1525 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THEAZORES. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS WRITTEN THE LASTADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL...LOCATED INLAND OVER MEXICOABOUT 105 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF VERACRUZ.

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOWPRESSURE AREA LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPEVERDE ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE LAST SEVERALHOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FORADDITIONAL GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXTCOUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS AMEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICALCYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/KIMBERLAIN

Here we go

Yep.
Can't say we weren't warned!

Another low rider, think this one will turn??

Haven't even taken a good look at the set-up yet...
But here's a pic

Boy, it sure has lots of dry air to get past . Wow - SAL is really strong just to its north. It will need to get past that first.

Good ole SAL

With any luck this one won't have any luck

We can hope!

It's having luck



8 PM Tropical Weather Outlook=Up to 40%

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.