Thread: Tropical Deprssion Karl - Dissipated

Still at 60% . . .

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN SEP 12 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 1275 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
SEA. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL
FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 15
MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

2. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...ADVISORIES
COULD BE INITIATED AT ANY TIME TODAY. INTERESTS IN THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM IN CASE
WATCHES OR WATCHES ARE REQUIRED. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

3. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA
IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM APPEARS UNLIKELY BEFORE IT IS ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM
IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS
IT MOVES NORTHWARD NEAR 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNN

Zczc miatwoat all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 am edt sun sep 12 2010

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on hurricane
igor...located about 1230 miles east of the northern leeward
islands.

1. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a
broad area of low pressure located over the east-central caribbean
sea. Environmental conditions still appear favorable for gradual
development of this system...and a tropical depression could form
during the next couple of days as it moves westward at 10 to 15
mph. There is a medium chance...50 percent...of this system
becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless
of development...locally heavy rainfall is possible in the virgin
islands...puerto rico...hispaniola...jamaica and cuba during the
next day or two. These rains could cause life-threatening flash
floods and mud slides...especially in mountainous terrain.

2. Satellite data indicate that the area of low pressure located about
315 miles east-southeast of the southernmost cape verde islands has
continued to become better organized...and a tropical depression
appears to be forming. If current trends continue...advisories
will be initiated later this morning...and watches or warnings will
likely be required for portions of the cape verde islands. There
is a high chance...near 100 percent...of this system becoming a
tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves generally
westward at 10 to 15 mph.

3. A weak area of low pressure located about 900 miles east-northeast
of bermuda continues to produce disorganized shower activity.
Development of this system appears unlikely before it is absorbed
by a frontal system in the next day or so. There is a low chance
...10 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during
the next 48 hours as it moves northward at 20 to 25 mph.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster brenna

Unchanged

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN SEP 12 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 1145 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS...AND ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE...LOCATED
ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
SEA...SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
IS POSSIBLE IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA...
JAMAICA AND CUBA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
NNNN

Zczc miatwoat all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 am edt mon sep 13 2010

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on hurricane
igor...located about 1000 miles east of the northern leeward
islands...and on recently upgraded tropical storm julia...located
about 60 miles south-southeast of the southernmost cape verde
islands.

1. Cloudiness and showers remain disorganized in association with a
trough of low pressure over the central caribbean sea.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development
during the next couple of days as the trough moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. there is a medium chance...40
percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours. Regardless of development...locally heavy rainfall
is possible over portions of hispaniola... Jamaica...and cuba
during the next day or two. These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides...especially in
mountainous terrain.

elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

Public advisories on julia are issued under wmo header wtnt32 knhc
and under awips header miatcpat2. Forecast/advisories are issued
under wmo header wtnt22 knhc and under awips header miatcmat2.

$$
forecaster cangialosi/pasch
nnnn

70%

Zczc miatwoat all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
special tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1100 am edt tue sep 14 2010

special outlook issued to update the low pressure area in the
caribbean

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on hurricane
igor...located about 710 miles east of the northern leeward islands
...and on hurricane julia...located about 355 miles west-northwest
of the southernmost cape verde islands.

1. Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with the
broad low pressure area centered about 375 miles east of chetumal
mexico is becoming better organized...and that the wind circulation
is becoming better defined. If current trends continue...a
tropical depression could form later today as the system moves
westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph. There is a high
chance...70 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone
during the next 48 hours. Interests in the yucatan peninsula of
mexico and belize should monitor the progress of this system.
Regardless of development...locally heavy rainfall is possible over
portions of jamaica...cuba...the cayman islands...the yucatan
peninsula...and belize during the next day or two. These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides...
Especially in areas of mountainous terrain. An air force reserve
hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system
this afternoon.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster beven
nnn

WEather for western itineraries won't be ideal by any means over the next couple of days

Originally Posted by canarymoon

WEather for western itineraries won't be ideal by any means over the next couple of days

Have you seen any cruise line notices of changes in itinerary?

90%!
Zczc miatwoat all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 pm edt tue sep 14 2010

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on hurricane
igor...located about 710 miles east of the northern leeward islands
...and on hurricane julia...located about 355 miles west-northwest
of the southernmost cape verde islands.

1. Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about
315 miles east of chetumal mexico continues to become better
organized...and an air force reserve hurricane hurricane hunter
aircraft is currently en route to determine if a tropical cyclone
has formed. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 15
mph...and interests in the yucatan peninsula of mexico and belize
should monitor the progress of this system as warnings may be
needed for portions of this area this afternoon. There is a high
chance...90 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone
during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development...locally
heavy rainfall is possible over portions of jamaica...cuba...the
cayman islands...the yucatan peninsula...and belize during the next
day or two. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods
and mud slides...especially in areas of mountainous terrain.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster beven
nnnn