Here we go again
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
000
wtnt31 knhc 081736
tcpat1
bulletin
tropical storm igor intermediate advisory number 1a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al112010
200 pm ast wed sep 08 2010
...igor bringing squally weather to the cape verde islands...
Summary of 200 pm ast...1800 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...13.7n 23.7w
about 80 mi...130 km s of praia in the cape verde islands
maximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/hr
present movement...w or 270 degrees at 6 mph...9 km/hr
minimum central pressure...1005 mb...29.68 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
A tropical storm watch is in effect for...
* the southern cape verde islands...including maio...sao tiago...
Fogo...and brava
a tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area...in this case within the next 12 to
24 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 pm ast...1800 utc...the center of tropical storm igor was
located near latitude 13.7 north...longitude 23.7 west. Igor is
moving toward the west near 6 mph...9 km/hr...and this motion is
expected to continue for the next couple of days with some increase
in forward speed. On the forecast track...the center of igor
should pass south of the cape verde islands by tomorrow.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph...65 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 50 miles...85 km
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb...29.68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds... Tropical storm conditions are possible in the southern cape
verde islands later today and overnight.
Rainfall...igor could produce rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3
inches over portions of the cape verde islands.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...500 pm ast.
$$
forecaster blake/pasch
Our local weather said they'd be keeping a close eye on this one.
LuLu...
VisitSOUTH CAROLINA!
1/16/13 Emerald Princess (20 Days)
000
wtnt31 knhc 082037
tcpat1
bulletin
tropical storm igor advisory number 2
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al112010
500 pm ast wed sep 08 2010
...igor creeping westward...slightly stronger...
Summary of 500 pm ast...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...13.9n 23.9w
about 75 mi...120 km ssw of praia in the cape verde islands
maximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/hr
present movement...w or 275 degrees at 6 mph...9 km/hr
minimum central pressure...1005 mb...29.68 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
A tropical storm watch is in effect for...
* the southern cape verde islands...including maio...sao tiago...
Fogo...and brava.
A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area...in this case within the next 12 to
24 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 pm ast...2100 utc...the center of tropical storm igor was
located near latitude 13.9 north...longitude 23.9 west. Igor is
moving toward the west near 6 mph...9 km/hr. A turn toward the
west-northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected on
thursday. On the forecast track...the center of igor is expected
to pass south of the cape verde islands.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph...75
km/hr...with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during
the next 48 hours...and igor could become a hurricane by the
weekend.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles...85 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb...29.68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds... Tropical storm conditions are possible in the southern cape
verde islands tonight and early thursday morning.
Rainfall...igor could produce rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3
inches over portions of the cape verde islands.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...800 pm ast.
Next complete advisory...1100 pm ast.
$$
forecaster blake/pasch
000
wtnt41 knhc 082038
tcdat1
tropical storm igor discussion number 2
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al112010
500 pm ast wed sep 08 2010
moderate to strong convection continues to be located to the west of
the center...a symptom of easterly shear. High-resolution ascat
data earlier indicated peak winds of 35-40 kt...and with satellite
classifications increasing...the wind speed is raised to 40 kt.
An uncertain estimate of the initial motion is 275/5. The
motion has slowed significantly...possibly due to the low pressure
area approaching the northern cape verde islands. The global
models are showing a different scenario in the short-term and have
trended toward the 00/12z ecmwf solutions. As the small low to
the northeast of igor moves westward...the ridge is forecast to
weaken slightly...which allows igor to move to the west-northwest
or even northwest briefly. Afterwards...the ridge restrengthens...
Which should turn igor westward again. The nhc forecast is
shifted to the north to account for the interaction of the two
systems and the northward shift in the models...but still lies
along the southern edge of the envelope.
The intensity forecast...at least in the short-term...seems tricky
with igor only about 210 nm southwest of the aforementioned low.
There certainly is the potential for some sort of interaction that
could slow the strengthening process. Thus the intensity forecast
will only show slow intensification in the short-term...generally a
little lower than the models. In the longer-range...there is
plenty of warm water and light shear forecast in the path of
igor...which would promote the development of a large and powerful
hurricane. The nhc forecast is increased from the previous
one...close to the consensus...and still might be conservative at
the end. However...with the track forecast shifting northward... I
am hesitant to forecast a much stronger hurricane at this time.
Forecast positions and max winds
initial 08/2100z 13.9n 23.9w 40 kt
12hr vt 09/0600z 14.0n 24.8w 45 kt
24hr vt 09/1800z 14.7n 26.5w 50 kt
36hr vt 10/0600z 15.5n 29.1w 55 kt
48hr vt 10/1800z 16.3n 32.2w 60 kt
72hr vt 11/1800z 17.0n 37.5w 70 kt
96hr vt 12/1800z 17.5n 42.5w 80 kt
120hr vt 13/1800z 18.5n 47.5w 90 kt
$$
forecaster blake/pasch
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
So did ours.Originally Posted by LuLu
I certainly am!
000
wtnt31 knhc 082345
tcpat1
bulletin
tropical storm igor intermediate advisory number 2a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al112010
800 pm ast wed sep 08 2010
...igor moving slowly westward...
Summary of 800 pm ast...0000 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...13.9n 24.2w
about 70 mi...115 km sse of sao filipe in the cape verde islands
maximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/hr
present movement...w or 270 degrees at 6 mph...9 km/hr
minimum central pressure...1005 mb...29.68 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...
None.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
A tropical storm watch is in effect for...
* the southern cape verde islands...including maio...sao tiago...
Fogo...and brava.
A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area...in this case within the next 12 to
24 hours.
For storm information specific to your area outside the united
states...please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 pm ast...0000 utc...the center of tropical storm igor was
located near latitude 13.9 north...longitude 24.2 west. Igor is
moving toward the west near 6 mph...9 km/hr. A turn toward the
west-northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected on
thursday. On the forecast track...the center of igor is expected
to pass south and west of the cape verde islands by thursday
evening.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph...75 km/hr...with
higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48
hours...and igor could become a hurricane by the weekend.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles...85 km
from the center. During the past hour...a sustained wind of
40 mph...75 km/hr...with a gust to 52 mph...83 km/hr...was observed
during a brief squall at sal in the northern cape verde islands.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb...29.68 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
winds... Tropical storm conditions are possible in the southern cape
verde islands through thursday morning.
Rainfall...igor could produce rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3
inches over portions of the cape verde islands.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1100 pm ast.
$$
forecaster stewart/musher
Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.
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