Thread: Tropical Depression Ida - inland

Will be very interesting to see what the NHC has to say in the 7 PM adisory

BTW - they are now issuing them an hour earlier than the previous times. so, it IS the 7 pm advisory coming up

Intensitiy held at 65mph for the 7 pm advisory... heading is WNW!!

000
wtnt31 knhc 042342
tcpat1
bulletin
tropical storm ida intermediate advisory number 2a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al112009
700 pm est wed nov 04 2009

...ida a little stronger as it heads toward nicaragua...

A hurricane watch is in effect for the eastern coast of nicaragua
from blufields northward to the honduras/nicaragua border.

A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the entire eastern
coast of nicaragua and for the islands of san andres and
providencia.

A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

At 700 pm est...0000 utc...the center of tropical storm ida was
located near latitude 12.2 north...longitude 82.9 west or about 65
miles...100 km...east of bluefields nicaragua.

Ida is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph...9 km/hr. A
turn toward the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is
expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track...ida
should make landfall along the east coast of nicaragua early
thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph...100 km/hr...
With higher gusts. additional strengthening is possible...and ida
could approach hurricane intensity before making landfall.

tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb...29.41 inches.

Ida is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 7
inches over san andres island with maximum amounts of 12 inches
possible. Rainfall accumulations of 15 to 20 inches are expected
over eastern nicaragua and eastern honduras with maximum amounts of
25 inches possible. These rains could produce life-threatening
flash flood and mud slides.

...summary of 700 pm est information...
Location...12.2n 82.9w
maximum sustained winds...65 mph
present movement...west-northwest or 300 degrees at 6 mph
minimum central pressure...996 mb

the next advisory will be issued by the national
hurricane center at 1000 pm est.

$$
forecaster pasch/roberts

Those doing Western Caribbean itineraries may have some port changes ....

Yes - they may!

Here's the 10 PM advisory

000
wtnt31 knhc 050233
tcpat1
bulletin
tropical storm ida advisory number 3
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al112009
1000 pm est wed nov 04 2009

...ida approaching the east coast of nicaragua...

A hurricane watch is in effect for the eastern coast of nicaragua
from bluefields northward to the honduras/nicaragua border.

A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the entire eastern
coast of nicaragua.

A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 24 hours.

At 10 pm est...0300 utc...the government of colombia has
discontinued the tropical storm warning for the islands of san
andres and providencia.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

At 1000 pm est...0300 utc...the center of tropical storm ida was
located near latitude 12.5 north...longitude 83.1 west or about 60
miles... 95 km...northeast of bluefields nicaragua.

Ida is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph...11 km/hr...and a
gradual turn to the north-northwest with a decrease in forward
speed is expected during the next day or two. On the forecast
track...ida should make landfall along the east coast of nicaragua
early thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph...100 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible...and ida could approach
hurricane intensity before making landfall.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 50 miles...85 km
from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb...29.38 inches.

Ida is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 7
inches over san andres island with maximum amounts of 12 inches
possible. Rainfall accumulations of 15 to 20 inches are expected
over eastern nicaragua and eastern honduras with maximum amounts of
25 inches possible. These rains could produce life-threatening
flash flood and mud slides.

A storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 3 feet above
ground level along the east coast of nicaragua...with large and
dangerous battering waves...near and to the north of where the
center of ida makes landfall.

...summary of 1000 pm est information...
Location...12.5n 83.1w
maximum sustained winds...65 mph
present movement...northwest or 315 degrees at 7 mph
minimum central pressure...995 mb

an intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane
center at 100 am est followed by the next complete advisory at 400
am est.

$$
forecaster pasch/roberts

000
wtnt31 knhc 050531
tcpat1
bulletin
tropical storm ida intermediate advisory number 3a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al112009
100 am est thu nov 05 2009

...ida near the coast of nicaragua...heavy rainfall spreading
inland...

A hurricane watch remains in effect for the eastern coast of
nicaragua from bluefields northward to the honduras/nicaragua
border. A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within the next 36 hours.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the entire eastern
coast of nicaragua. A tropical storm warning means that tropical
storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area
within the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

At 100 am est...0600 utc...the center of tropical storm ida was
located near latitude 12.5 north...longitude 83.2 west or about
50 miles...85 km...northeast of bluefields nicaragua.

Ida is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph...11 km/hr...and a
gradual turn to the north-northwest with a decrease in forward
speed is expected during the next day or two. On the forecast
track...ida should make landfall along the east coast of nicaragua
in the next few hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph...100 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is still possible...and ida could
approach hurricane intensity before making landfall. Some
weakening is expected once ida moves inland over nicaragua later
today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 50 miles...85 km
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb...29.38 inches.

Ida is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 7
inches over san andres island with maximum amounts of 12 inches
possible. Rainfall accumulations of 15 to 20 inches are expected
over eastern nicaragua and eastern honduras with maximum amounts of
25 inches possible. These rains could produce life-threatening
flash flood and mud slides.

A storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 3 feet above
ground level along the east coast of nicaragua...with large and
dangerous battering waves...near and to the north of where the
center of ida makes landfall.

...summary of 100 am est information...
Location...12.5n 83.2w
maximum sustained winds...65 mph
present movement...northwest or 315 degrees at 7 mph
minimum central pressure...995 mb

the next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at
400 am est.

$$
forecaster brennan/cangialosi