Thread: Tropical Depression Henri - ENE of Leewards

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GRACE...LOCATED ABOUT 585 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE AZORES.

1. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH AND CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS INCREASE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS
THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

Shear out there

Yep and looks like it is heading right for it. Good for us!

It's gone ORANGE

Zczc miatwoat all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 pm edt mon oct 5 2009

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
storm grace...moving rapidly northeastward over the northeastern
atlantic.

1. A tropical wave located about 950 miles east of the windward
islands is moving west-northwestward at around 15 mph. Satellite
imagery indicates that this system is gradually becoming better
organized...and some additional development is possible before
upper-level winds become less favorable in a couple of days. there
is a medium chance...30 to 50 percent...of this system becoming a
tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

Public advisories on grace are issued under wmo header wtnt34 knhc
and under awips header miatcpat4. Forecast/advisories on grace are
issued under wmo header wtnt24 knhc and under awips header
miatcmat4.

$$
forecaster brennan

Shear decreasing ahead of it

Back to Yellow at 8 am

Zczc miatwoat all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 am edt tue oct 6 2009

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 575 miles east of the leeward islands have become
less organized over the past few hours. Upper-level winds no
longer appear conducive for development of this system as it moves
northwestward near 15 mph. there is a low chance...less than 30
percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours.

elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster berg