Thread: Tropical Depression Olaf- W of Cabo San Lazaro

Wtpz33 knhc 030836
tcpep3
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tropical depression olaf advisory number 8
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep182009
200 am pdt sat oct 03 2009

...olaf weakens to a tropical depression...

At 200 am pdt...0900 utc...the center of tropical depression olaf
was located near latitude 24.1 north...longitude 117.2 west or about
310 miles...500 km...west of cabo san lazaro mexico.

The depression is moving toward the north near 3 mph...6 km/hr. A
turn to the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected
today. On this track...olaf or its remnants should be crossing the
central portion of baja california tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast and olaf should become a remnant low
within 36 hours.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb...29.68 inches.

Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible across the central
baja peninsula and portions of sonora in northwestern mexico.

...summary of 200 am pdt information...
Location...24.1n 117.2w
maximum sustained winds...35 mph
present movement...north or 10 degrees at 3 mph
minimum central pressure...1004 mb

the next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at
800 am pdt.

$$

We are currently getting the remnants of Olaf as rain.

Wtpz33 knhc 040230
tcpep3
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tropical depression olaf advisory number 11
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep182009
800 pm pdt sat oct 03 2009

...olaf degenerates into a remnant low...this is the last
advisory...

At 800 pm pdt...0300 utc...the center of the remnant low was located
near latitude 24.1 north...longitude 112.3 west or about 50
miles... 80 km...south of cabo san lazaro mexico.

The low is moving toward the east near 14 mph...23 km/hr...and this
general motion is expected to continue until dissipation on sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph...45 km/hr...with higher
gusts. The low is forecast to dissipate tomorrow.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb...29.59 inches.

Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches...with maximum storm total amounts
of 6 inches...are expected across portions of sinaloa...durango and
chihuahua in northwestern mexico.

...summary of 800 pm pdt information...
Location...24.1n 112.3w
maximum sustained winds...30 mph
present movement...east or 85 degrees at 14 mph
minimum central pressure...1002 mb

this is the last public advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on this system. For additional information on the remnant
low please see high seas forecasts issued by the national weather
service...under awips header nfdhsfepi and wmo header fzpn02 kwbc.

$$
forecaster avila

Zczc miatwoep all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
500 am pdt sun oct 4 2009

for the eastern north pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude..

1. The remnant low of olaf is located over southern baja california
about 60 miles west-northwest of la paz mexico...and is producing
an area showers and thunderstorms along the mainland coast of
northwestern mexico. Re-development of this system is not
expected...and there is a low chance...less than 30 percent...of
this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster berg

It is good to see that this is dying out. We are heading down there this morning.

Bon Voyage, John!

You can see the little wisps that it is sending NE to my area in Dallas.

Yes, those are very clear, Neal.