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tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
500 pm pdt tue sep 22 2009
for the eastern north pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude..
1. A broad area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest of
the southern tip of baja california is moving northwestward at
about 10 mph. Satellite pictures indicate that the low is becoming
better organized...and a tropical depression may be forming. If current trends continue...advisories would be initiated on this system later this evening. There is a high chance...greater than
50 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours.
Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
WTPN21 PGTW 221430
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
175 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.2N 114.2W TO 18.0N 121.2W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 17 TO 22 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 221200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 14.5N 115.0W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 231430Z
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL
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BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172009 800 PM PDT TUE SEP 22 2009
...SEVENTEENTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE EAST
PACIFIC...
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.7
WEST OR ABOUT 625 MILES...1005 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN THE
WEST ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.7N 115.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.
Zczc miatcpep2 all
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bulletin tropical storm nora advisory number 2
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep172009
200 am pdt wed sep 23 2009
...the 14th tropical storm of the season forms...no threat to
land...
at 200 am pdt...0900 utc...the center of tropical storm nora was
located near latitude 16.1 north...longitude 116.7 west or about 645
miles...1040 km...southwest of the southern tip of baja california.
Nora is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph...13 km/hr. A
gradual turn toward the west-northwest and west and a decrease in
forward speed is expected over the next couple of days.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph...65
km/hr...with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is
forecast during the next 24-36 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles...55 km
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb...29.68 inches.
...summary of 200 am pdt information...
Location...16.1n 116.7w
maximum sustained winds...40 mph
present movement...northwest or 310 degrees at 8 mph
minimum central pressure...1005 mb
the next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at
800 am pdt.
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Tropical Depression Nora- WSW of the Baja
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