Thread: EPAC TS Linda

ABPZ20 KNHC 051733
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 5 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS INCREASED THIS MORNING. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

Man, the Pacific continues to pop 'em out!

One of the Reps on my Team is heading out on the Mariner on Sunday to the MR. This is just her second cruise and her first to the MR so I hope this fades out to the east.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 6 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS
SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO...AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Originally Posted by cruiserlovr

One of the Reps on my Team is heading out on the Mariner on Sunday to the MR. This is just her second cruise and her first to the MR so I hope this fades out to the east.

Should be fine, this is moving west/northwest

This is now TD 15E

Zczc miatcpep5 all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
bulletin
tropical depression fifteen-e advisory number 1
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep152009
200 am pdt mon sep 07 2009

...fifteenth tropical cyclone of the 2009 eastern north pacific
season forms...

At 200 am pdt...0900 utc...the center of tropical depression
fifteen-e was located near latitude 15.5 north...longitude 125.6
west or about 1145 miles...1840 km...west-southwest of the southern
tip of baja california.

The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph...13
km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue for the
next couple of days with some decrease in forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 24
hours...and the depression could become a tropical storm later
today.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.

...summary of 200 am pdt information...
Location...15.5n 125.6w
maximum sustained winds...35 mph
present movement...west-northwest or 285 degrees at 8 mph
minimum central pressure...1006 mb

the next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at
800 am pdt.

$$
forecaster pasch

Zczc miatcpep5 all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
bulletin
tropical depression fifteen-e advisory number 2
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep152009
800 am pdt mon sep 07 2009

...depression moving slowly west-northwestward...

At 800 am pdt...1500 utc...the center of tropical depression
fifteen-e was located near latitude 15.4 north...longitude 126.3
west or about 1190 miles...1910 km...west-southwest of the southern
tip of baja california.

The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph...13
km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue for the
next couple of days with some decrease in forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 24
hours...and the depression could become a tropical storm later
today.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.

...summary of 800 am pdt information...
Location...15.4n 126.3w
maximum sustained winds...35 mph
present movement...west or 280 degrees at 8 mph
minimum central pressure...1006 mb

the next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at
200 pm pdt.

$$
forecaster kimberlain

Doesn't look like it will be much of a threat to anything . . .