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Old 08-30-2009, 09:01 AM canarymoon is offline     #21 (permalink)

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Past Cruises CCL: Fantasy- 06/02. Valor- 09/06. Freedom- 05/09 RCL: Sovereign - 01/02, 11/02, 6/03, 08/03, 09/03, 08/04, 09/04, 01/05, 09/05, 09/05, 12/05, 04/06, 08/06, 12/06, 02/07, 09/07, 09/08, 10/08, 10/08. Mariner - 12/03. Radiance 4/04. Serenade 11/05. Rhapsody 05/07. Celebrity: ZENITH 04/05. PRINCESS: Crown Princess 10/08, Emerald Princess 10/09


Old 08-30-2009, 12:18 PM sue miller is online now     #22 (permalink)

My Signature Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.


Past Cruises Most people walk into and out of your life . . . but FRIENDS leave footprints in your heart


Old 08-30-2009, 02:05 PM Char is online now     #23 (permalink)
I DO NOT like the way all those models are pointing!

My Signature Charlene & the Bobster

Roll Call --> Freedom of the Seas Caribbean 2/28/10
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Old 08-30-2009, 02:32 PM LuLu is offline     #24 (permalink)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Char View Post
I DO NOT like the way all those models are pointing!
Me either!

For sure, we'll have to keep a watch on this one!

My Signature LuLu ...
Visit SOUTH CAROLINA!

11/21/09 Crown Princess 2/18/10 Island Pricess B2B Ft.Lauderdale to Acapulco and back (total 20 days)
Past Cruises OVER 40 (started young) Princess, Celebrity, RCCL, HAL, NCL, Costa, Disney, Carnival, Sitmar (Princess bought), and (a very long time ago) SS Bahama Star


Old 08-30-2009, 04:21 PM canarymoon is offline     #25 (permalink)
Zczc miatwoat all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 pm edt sun aug 30 2009

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

1. Cloudiness and showers associated with a broad area of low pressure
located about 800 miles east of the windward islands have changed
little in organization since this morning. This system could
become a tropical depression during the next day or so as it moves
west-northwestward around 15 mph. There is a high chance...greater
than 50 percent...of tropical cyclone formation in this area during
the next 48 hours. Interests in the lesser antilles should monitor
the progress of this system.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster pasch/roberts

My Signature
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Cruise Countdown princess
Sovereign of the Seas in Sailing
Past Cruises CCL: Fantasy- 06/02. Valor- 09/06. Freedom- 05/09 RCL: Sovereign - 01/02, 11/02, 6/03, 08/03, 09/03, 08/04, 09/04, 01/05, 09/05, 09/05, 12/05, 04/06, 08/06, 12/06, 02/07, 09/07, 09/08, 10/08, 10/08. Mariner - 12/03. Radiance 4/04. Serenade 11/05. Rhapsody 05/07. Celebrity: ZENITH 04/05. PRINCESS: Crown Princess 10/08, Emerald Princess 10/09


Old 08-31-2009, 07:18 AM Char is online now     #26 (permalink)
000
abnt20 knhc 310534
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 am edt mon aug 31 2009

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

A broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles east of the
windward islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. Environmental conditions still appear favorable for
further development...and this system could become a tropical
depression during the next day or so as it moves west-northwestward
at around 15 mph. There is a high chance...greater than 50
percent...of tropical cyclone formation in this area during the
next 48 hours. interests in the lesser antilles should monitor the
progress of this system.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster berg

My Signature Charlene & the Bobster

Roll Call --> Freedom of the Seas Caribbean 2/28/10
Roll Call --> Radiance of the Seas Ultimate Alaska 05/08/10
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Crown Princess 2nd Annual Official CLF Group Cruise in the Caribbean!
Past Cruises Too many to list!


Old 08-31-2009, 09:01 AM sue miller is online now     #27 (permalink)
tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
805 am edt mon aug 31 2009

tropical weather discussion for north america...central
america...gulf of mexico...caribbean sea...northern sections
of south america...and atlantic ocean to the african coast
from the equator to 32n. The following information is based
on satellite imagery...meteorological analysis...weather
observations...and radar.

Based on 0600 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1015 utc.

...special features...

Broad area of low pressure associated with a 1007 mb low
centered near 13n50w. The tropical wave was not analyzed as this
system is becoming slightly more uniform. Scattered/numerous
strong convection is 13n-16n between 48w-52w. Clusters of
scattered moderate/isolated strong convection are from 16n-20n
between 45w-52w with scattered moderate convection from 12n-15n
between 53w-55w.
the environmental conditions still appear
favorable for development and this system has the potential to
become a tropical depression during the next day or so as it
moves wnw 10-15 kt. Interests in the lesser antilles should
monitor the progress of this system
.

My Signature Some people try to turn back their odometers. Not me! I want people to know why I look this way. I've traveled a long way, and some of the roads weren't paved.


Past Cruises Most people walk into and out of your life . . . but FRIENDS leave footprints in your heart


Old 08-31-2009, 09:12 AM canarymoon is offline     #28 (permalink)
Yep - that part that Sue highlilghted with red is significant.

The change in wording from the previous advisory really sends a signal on the official thinking of the NHC

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Old 08-31-2009, 03:06 PM canarymoon is offline     #29 (permalink)
Zczc miatwoat all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 pm edt mon aug 31 2009

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 500 miles east of the lesser antilles
continue to show signs of organization...however there is no
well-defined surface circulation center. Conditions are marginally
favorable for this system to become a tropical depression during
the next day or so as it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph.
There is a high chance...greater than 50 percent...of tropical
cyclone formation in this area during the next 48 hours. Interests
in the lesser antilles should monitor the progress of this system.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster pasch

My Signature
Cruise Gear, Bon Voyage Gifts,
Cruise Memorabilia, and more!
Cruise Countdown princess
Sovereign of the Seas in Sailing
Past Cruises CCL: Fantasy- 06/02. Valor- 09/06. Freedom- 05/09 RCL: Sovereign - 01/02, 11/02, 6/03, 08/03, 09/03, 08/04, 09/04, 01/05, 09/05, 09/05, 12/05, 04/06, 08/06, 12/06, 02/07, 09/07, 09/08, 10/08, 10/08. Mariner - 12/03. Radiance 4/04. Serenade 11/05. Rhapsody 05/07. Celebrity: ZENITH 04/05. PRINCESS: Crown Princess 10/08, Emerald Princess 10/09


Old 08-31-2009, 03:06 PM canarymoon is offline     #30 (permalink)
Back to previous wording

My Signature
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Cruise Countdown princess
Sovereign of the Seas in Sailing
Past Cruises CCL: Fantasy- 06/02. Valor- 09/06. Freedom- 05/09 RCL: Sovereign - 01/02, 11/02, 6/03, 08/03, 09/03, 08/04, 09/04, 01/05, 09/05, 09/05, 12/05, 04/06, 08/06, 12/06, 02/07, 09/07, 09/08, 10/08, 10/08. Mariner - 12/03. Radiance 4/04. Serenade 11/05. Rhapsody 05/07. Celebrity: ZENITH 04/05. PRINCESS: Crown Princess 10/08, Emerald Princess 10/09


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