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Old 08-30-2009, 08:04 AM canarymoon is offline     #11 (permalink)
Orange -
Special Advisory
at 5:15 AM

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Old 08-30-2009, 08:06 AM canarymoon is offline     #12 (permalink)

ZCZC MIATWO
AT ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
515 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF LOW PRESSURE AREA EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

1. UPDATED...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED INASSOCIATION WITH THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1075MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SOMESIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVERTHE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEMBECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS INTHE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BROWN

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Old 08-30-2009, 08:11 AM Char is online now     #13 (permalink)
Gonna keep us on our toes! Weather is heating up in both Atlantic and Pacific lately! 7 named storms in the Pacific in the month of August!

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Old 08-30-2009, 08:13 AM canarymoon is offline     #14 (permalink)
From dr Jeff Masters' blog :

Hi, this is Dr. Rob Carver filling in for Dr. Masters. The convection associated with Invest 94L has intensified, prompting the NHC to issue an early Tropical Weather Outlook to update the situation. Essentially, people in the Lesser Antilles need to start paying attention to the seas and skies. . . . there is a large area of large wind shear to it's north. It will need to keep it's track at WNW-W for intensification

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Old 08-30-2009, 08:13 AM canarymoon is offline     #15 (permalink)
It's just flat-out crazy!

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Old 08-30-2009, 08:32 AM canarymoon is offline     #16 (permalink)

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Past Cruises CCL: Fantasy- 06/02. Valor- 09/06. Freedom- 05/09 RCL: Sovereign - 01/02, 11/02, 6/03, 08/03, 09/03, 08/04, 09/04, 01/05, 09/05, 09/05, 12/05, 04/06, 08/06, 12/06, 02/07, 09/07, 09/08, 10/08, 10/08. Mariner - 12/03. Radiance 4/04. Serenade 11/05. Rhapsody 05/07. Celebrity: ZENITH 04/05. PRINCESS: Crown Princess 10/08, Emerald Princess 10/09


Old 08-30-2009, 08:35 AM Char is online now     #17 (permalink)
Too early to tell where it will be heading, but it's one to keep an eye on since it's pointed in our general direction!

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Old 08-30-2009, 08:45 AM canarymoon is offline     #18 (permalink)
NHC had just raised it to
RED

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Old 08-30-2009, 08:46 AM canarymoon is offline     #19 (permalink)

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUE TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH

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Old 08-30-2009, 08:49 AM Char is online now     #20 (permalink)
Every time you turn around it's something new!

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