Thread: Invest 90L - SSW of th Cape Verdes

At this point it could still go anywhere--into the Gulf or up the Eastern Seaboard.
Wherever it goes, it does not bode well!

Nope.

And there's another possibility... it could fizzle out all together. Anyting could happen.

Originally Posted by canarymoon

Nope.

And there's another possibility... it could fizzle out all together. Anyting could happen.

Fizzle would be good!

It sure would! Of course, if 90L gets its center closed off, chancrs of a fizzlel decrease markedly. And it does look like that could happen - maybe evenlatr today. Maybe tomorrow or Sunday.

No upgrade yet . . .

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 14 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATIONWITH THE REMNANT LOW OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO...LOCATEDABOUT 1225 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. WHILE UPPER-LEVELCONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...REGENERATION OF THIS SYSTEM INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE ASIT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEMBECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED A BROAD AREA OF LOWPRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNCAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PASTSEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR FAVORABLE FORFURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSIONCOULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT NEAR15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THISSYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

3. A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING ANAREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS FROM JAMAICA AND EASTERN CUBANORTHWARD INTO THE BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SPREADWEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THEREARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOTFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. THERE IS ALOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING ATROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

4. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AREASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. SURFACE PRESSURESARE HIGH IN THIS AREA AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEMBECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

No upgrade yet,
but still Red

Zczc miatwoat all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 pm edt fri aug 14 2009

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...


2. The broad area of low pressure centered about 400 miles southwest of
the westernmost cape verde islands is accompanied by a large area
of cloudiness and thunderstorms. This system is gradually becoming
better organized and a tropical depression could also form tonight
or saturday. The low is expected to move westward at 15 mph. There
is a high chance...greater than 50 percent...of this system
becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 15 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY-REGENERATED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO...LOCATED ABOUT 1075 MILES EASTOF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

1. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTEREDABOUT 475 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE WESTERN MOST CAPE VERDEISLANDS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED LATER TODAY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

2. A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCINGDISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS FROM THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEANORTHWARD ACROSS CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TOSPREAD WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEMBECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMOHEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMOHEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2.$$FORECASTER BLAKENNNNProduct Description Document:

Zczc miatwoat all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 am edt sat aug 15 2009

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on recently-
upgraded tropical storm ana...located about 1010 miles east of the
leeward islands.

1. Satellite images indicate that the area of low pressure centered
about 600 miles west-southwest of the westernmost cape verde
islands continues to become better organized...and a tropical
depression may be forming. If current trends continue...advisories
will likely be initiated later this morning as the system moves
westward at about 15 mph. There is a high chance...greater than 50
percent... Of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours.