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Old 08-10-2009, 10:05 PM canarymoon is offline     #11 (permalink)
However, the Pacific season officially starts earlier than the Atlantic one, anyway. And It's not unusual for the Atlantic Basin to make it well into August with little to no activity, so we're really seeing par for the course.

While it's just about time for us to start seeing some activity on our side, wouldn't it be nice if we didn't?

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Old 08-10-2009, 10:06 PM canarymoon is offline     #12 (permalink)
Zczc miatwoep all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
500 pm pdt mon aug 10 2009

for the eastern north pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude..

The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
depression nine-e...located about 1075 miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of baja california.

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 500 miles south of
manzanillo mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level conditions are expected to
become more favorable for development of this system during the
next couple of days as it moves generally westward around 15 mph.
There is a medium chance...30 to 50 percent...of this system
becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster brown
nnnn

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Old 08-10-2009, 10:07 PM canarymoon is offline     #13 (permalink)
Oeh! And here's an illustrative fact that will strike a chord. In 1992 we didn't have a named storm until August 17th. That year, the first named storm was ...












Andrew.

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Old 08-10-2009, 11:27 PM Char is offline     #14 (permalink)
We don't need another Andrew!

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Old 08-11-2009, 01:48 AM reggierail is offline     #15 (permalink)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Char View Post
We don't need another Andrew!
We all pray that you never do.

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Old 08-11-2009, 08:35 AM canarymoon is offline     #16 (permalink)
000
wtpz34 knhc 110831
tcpep4
bulletin
tropical depression nine-e advisory number 7
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep092009
200 am pdt tue aug 11 2009

...depression continues westward...

At 200 am pdt...0900 utc...the center of tropical depression nine-e
was located near latitude 15.1 north...longitude 126.4 west or about
1205 miles...1935 km...west-southwest of the southern tip of baja
california.

The depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph...19
km/hr...and this motion is expected to continue for the next 48
hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible...and the depression could
become a tropical storm during the next couple of days.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.

...summary of 200 am pdt information...
Location...15.1n 126.4w
maximum sustained winds...35 mph
present movement...west or 270 degrees at 12 mph
minimum central pressure...1006 mb

the next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at
800 am pdt.

$$
forecaster pasch

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Old 08-12-2009, 06:39 PM canarymoon is offline     #17 (permalink)
004
wtpz34 knhc 122036
tcpep4
bulletin
tropical depression nine-e advisory number 13
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep092009
200 pm pdt wed aug 12 2009

...poorly organized depression moving west-southwestward...

At 200 pm pdt...2100 utc...the center of tropical depression nine-e
was located near latitude 14.1 north...longitude 133.2 west or about
1640 miles...2640 km...west-southwest of the southern tip of baja
california.

The depression is moving toward the west-southwest near 13 mph...and
this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or two
with a gradual decrease in forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast over the next couple
of days.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb...29.74 inches.

...summary of 200 pm pdt information...
Location...14.1n 133.2w
maximum sustained winds...35 mph
present movement...west-southwest or 255 degrees at 13 mph
minimum central pressure...1007 mb

the next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at
800 pm pdt.

$$
forecaster franklin

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Old 08-13-2009, 06:37 AM canarymoon is offline     #18 (permalink)
Zczc miatcpep4 all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
bulletin
tropical depression nine-e advisory number 14
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep092009
800 pm pdt wed aug 12 2009

...tropical depression degenerates into a remnant low...

At 800 pm pdt...0300 utc...the center of the remnant low associated
with tropical depression nine-e was located near latitude 13.9
north...longitude 134.1 west or about 1700 miles...2735
km...west-southwest of the southern tip of baja california.

The low is moving toward the west-southwest near 9 mph...15 km/hr...
And this general motion should continue until dissipation.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph...45 km/hr...with higher
gusts in a few passing showers. The low is forecast to dissipate in
a day or so.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb...29.74 inches.

...summary of 800 pm pdt information...
Location...13.9n 134.1w
maximum sustained winds...30 mph
present movement...west-southwest or 255 degrees at 9 mph
minimum central pressure...1007 mb

this is the last public advisory issued by the national hurricane
center on this system unless regeneration occurs.

$$

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Old 08-14-2009, 01:04 PM canarymoon is offline     #19 (permalink)
Surprise!




ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI AUG 14 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANEGUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1130 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNTIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

1. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPEDTHIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICALDEPRESSION NINE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 1230 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THEHAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR SOMEWHATFAVORABLE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT DRIFTS TOWARD THEWEST-SOUTHWEST OR WEST. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURINGTHE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN

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Old 08-14-2009, 02:55 PM reggierail is offline     #20 (permalink)
Oh Boy, don't like surprises.

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