Thread: Tropical Storm Blanca - SSW of Baja

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OFMANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...ALTHOUGHTHE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED AND NOTCONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING MOREFAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYSAS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS AMEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING ATROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

$
$FORECASTER BERG
NNNN

Still Orange this morning . . .

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN JUL 5 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM AND IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN

Position=Latitud,16.5N _ Longitud,108.7W.
Winds=25 kts.
Pressure=1008 mbs.

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN JUL 5 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURELOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAVEDECREASED DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS STILLAPPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND THERE ISPOTENTIAL FOR THE LOW TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THENEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEMBECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

$
$FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN
NNNN

At this point, it does not appear that this system will affect any sea lanes for cruising . . .

Zczc miatwoep all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
1100 pm pdt sun jul 5 2009

for the eastern north pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude..

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 400 miles south of the southern tip of baja california
continue to show signs of organization. Conditions are marginally
favorable for development...and this system has the potential to
become a tropical depression within the next day or so as it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. There is a medium chance...30
to 50 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during
the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster pasch

Not much new on that front.

Nope.
I think everyone is probably grateful for that