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Old 06-24-2009, 07:27 AM canarymoon is offline     #51 (permalink)
Andres downgraded to
Tropical Storm

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Old 06-24-2009, 07:30 AM canarymoon is offline     #52 (permalink)
000
wtpz32 knhc 240831
tcpep2
bulletin
tropical storm andres advisory number 11
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep022009
200 am pdt wed jun 24 2009

...andres weakening...

At 2 am pdt the government of mexico has discontinued the tropical storm warning from manzanillo to cabo corrientes.

Interests in the southern baja california peninsula should monitor the progress of andres.


At 200 am pdt the center of tropical storm andres was located near latitude 19.5 north...longitude 106.7 west or about 90 miles southwest of cabo corrientes mexico and about 315 miles southeast of the southern tip of baja california.

Andres is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph and a gradual turn toward the west-northwest is expected during the next 24 to 48 hours.

Satellite images indicate that the maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast during the next 24 to 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb.

...summary of 200 am pdt information...
Location...19.5n 106.7w
maximum sustained winds...60 mph
present movement...northwest or 305 degrees at 9 mph
minimum central pressure...996 mb

the next advisory will be issued by the nationa hurricane center at 00 am pdt.

$$
forecaster pasch

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Old 06-24-2009, 07:33 AM canarymoon is offline     #53 (permalink)

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Old 06-24-2009, 07:34 AM canarymoon is offline     #54 (permalink)
Still right in the area where the Mexican Rivera Itinerary ports are

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Old 06-24-2009, 07:44 AM canarymoon is offline     #55 (permalink)
Andres Takes One Life as he Brushes Mexican Coast

The AP is reporting that a fisherman has drowned... his boat overturned in Choppy waters spawned by Andres.

Also:
. . . the storm dumped heavy rains on Acapulco, where flooding forced about 200 people to evacuate their homes on Monday

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Old 06-24-2009, 09:56 AM canarymoon is offline     #56 (permalink)

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Old 06-24-2009, 09:58 AM canarymoon is offline     #57 (permalink)
Looking much less well organized now, but appears to be providing some really nasty weather for the Mexican Riviera... probably some high seas, too.

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Old 06-24-2009, 09:59 AM canarymoon is offline     #58 (permalink)
estimated minimum central pressure 996 mb
Max sustained winds 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt.
50 kt....... 30ne 30se 30sw 30nw.
34 kt....... 60ne 60se 45sw 45nw.
12 ft seas.. 75ne 150se 60sw 80nw.

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Old 06-24-2009, 12:22 PM sue miller is online now     #59 (permalink)
tropical depression andres discussion number 12
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep022009
800 am pdt wed jun 24 2009

the center of andres has been extremely difficult to find in
conventional satellite imagery. An 0856 utc amsr-e microwave pass
was very helpful in locating the center...however a trmm pass about
an hour and a half later suggested that the center was becoming
elongated at that time. A more recent 1250 utc quikscat pass has
provided more evidence that the center is becoming elongated and
less-defined. The highest believable wind vector from the
scatterometer was around 30 kt...which is used as the initial
intensity estimate.

Andres is forecast to continue weakening...due to northeasterly
shear and a more stable airmass. Since the center of the cyclone is
becoming less defined...dissipation is now expected later today and
andres should continue moving northwestward until that occurs.

Forecast positions and max winds

initial 24/1500z 20.3n 107.7w 30 kt
12hr vt 25/0000z 21.0n 108.8w 25 kt...remnant low
24hr vt 25/1200z...dissipated

$$
forecaster brown

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Old 06-24-2009, 03:29 PM cruisin' chick is offline     #60 (permalink)
A couple of my Facebook buds are on the Mariner right now. I'm sure I'll hear next Sunday or so how their cruise went. Usually there's a bit of rough seas returning to LA in normal situations anyway, so I'm guessing much of their cruise might be like that.

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