Thread: Tropical depressionANDRES- dissipating

This is now a
Tropical Depression

Wtpz32 knhc 212030
tcpep2
bulletin
tropical depression two-e advisory number 1
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep022009
200 pm pdt sun jun 21 2009

...tropical depression forms off the southern coast of mexico...

Interests along the southwestern coast of mexico should monitor the progress of this system.

Satellite imagery and ship reports indicate that the second tropical depression of the eastern north pacific season has formed.

At 200 pm pdt the center of tropical depression two-e was located near latitude 14.7 north...longitude 101.7 west or about 205 miles south of zihuatanejo mexico.

The depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph. A turn toward the west-northwest and then toward the northwest is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track... The center of the cyclone will remain offshore of the coast of
mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and the system could become a tropical storm tonight.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb.

Locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of southern and southwestern mexico during the next couple of days.

...summary of 200 pm pdt information...
Location...14.7n 101.7w
maximum sustained winds...35 mph
present movement...west or 275 degrees at 7 mph
minimum central pressure...1002 mb

the next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at
800 pm pdt.

$$
forecaster berg/pasch

In the event this becomes a Tropical Storm, it will be named Andres.

tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
2205 utc sun jun 21 2009

tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n...east of 140w.

Based on 1800 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
230 utc.

...special feature...

Newly formed tropical depression two-e was centered near 14.7n
101.7w or about 205 miles s of zihuatanejo mexico at 21/2100 utc
moving w 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb.
Maximum
sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. See latest nhc public advisory
under awips/wmo headers miatcpep/wtpz32 knhc and the full
forecast
advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcmep wtpz22 knhc for more
details. Satellite visible imagery from throughout the day have
shown that the overall cloud structure and associated convection
with what earlier a tropical low have significantly become better
organized under favorable upper level conditions...so the
system was upgraded to a depression this afternoon. Numerous
strong convection is observed within 60 nm e and 75 nm w of
center. Scattered strong convection is elsewhere within 60 nm ne
and 90 nm sw quadrants of center. A rather tight banding feature
wrapping into the center from the sw consists of scattered
strong convection...about 90 nm wide...extending from
13n104w to 15n104w. The depression is forecast to gradually
strengthen into a tropical storm by late tonight...and continue
to strengthen into the next 48 hours as it moves in a general
westward
track.

Tropical weather discussion for the eastern pacific ocean from
the equator to 32n...east of 140w.

Based on 0000 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 utc.

...special feature...

tropical depression two-e has been upgraded to tropical storm
andres at 03/0300 utc...centered near 14.8n 101.9w or about 205
miles s of zihuatanejo mexico at 031/0300 utc moving w 8 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb. Maximum sustained
winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. See latest nhc public advisory under
awips/wmo headers miatcpep/wtpz32 knhc and the full forecast
advisory under awips/wmo headers miatcmep wtpz22 knhc for more
details. Satellite visible imagery from throughout the early
evening hours are showing that the overall cloud structure and
associated convection continues to become better organized under
favorable upper level conditions. What earlier appeared to be
a tight banding feature trying to wrap under the center from
the w...has given way to an increasing large cluster of numerous
strong convection within 120 nm of the center in the s quadrant.
Scattered strong convection is elsewhere within 90 nm in the
s semicircle...and a 60 nm wide band that extends from 13n104w
to 16n104w to 18n102w. Scattered moderate/isolated strong
exists from 12.5n-13n between 103w-105w and within 30 nm
of a line from 14n98w to 16n99w. Andres is forecast to gradually
strengthen through the next 48 hours per latest nhc forecast
forecast.

Clusters of convection are noted well e of the center to
along and offshore the central american coast from el salvador
to the gulf of tehuantepec with scattered moderate/isolated
strong convection from 9n-16n between 91w-98w including the gulf
of tehuantepec. Heavy rains are likely over much of southern and
sw mexico...primarily along the coastal sections...within the
next couple of days. In addition scattered strong convective
clusters are developing along the coast of northern and central
panama.

aguirre

Wtpz32 knhc 220833
tcpep2
bulletin
tropical storm andres advisory number 3
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl ep022009
200 am pdt mon jun 22 2009

...andres strengthens a little more while moving slowly...

A tropical storm watch remains in effect from zihuatanejo mexico northward to manzanillo mexico. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the southwestern coast of mexico should monitor the progress of andres.

At 200 am pdt the center of tropical storm andres was located near latitude 15.0 north...longitude 102.1 west or about 190 miles south of zihuatanejo mexico and about 310 miles south-southeast of manzanillo mexico.

Andres is moving toward the west-northwest near 3 mph. And a slow west-northwest to northwest motion is expected to continue during the next 24 to 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast...and andres could become a hurricane during the next couple of days.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb.

Locally heavy rains are possible over portions of southern and southwestern mexico during the next day or two.

...summary of 200 am pdt information...
Location...15.0n 102.1w
maximum sustained winds...50 mph
present movement...west-northwest or 300 degrees at 3 mph
minimum central pressure...997 mb

an intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 500 am pdt followed by the next complete advisory at 800 am pdt.

$$
forecaster pasch