Disturbance 91L forms near North Carolina
An area of disturbed weather, dubbed "91L" by the National Hurricane Center, has formed a few hundred miles southeast of North Carolina. The disturbance is over waters of 25 - 26°C and has wind shear of 10 - 15 knots over it, and these conditions are marginally favorable for some slow development to occur over the next 24 - 36 hours. The disturbance will track northwards towards North Carolina's Outer Banks over the next 24 - 36 hours, then get swept northeastwards out to sea. It is unlikely that the disturbance has enough time to develop into a tropical depression. However, the storm should bring winds of 20 - 25 mph and heavy rain to North Carolina's Cape Hatteras on Wednesday.
Just now on the Weather Channel, Dr. Steeve Lyons said the followibg:
1 - It's moving N and should be off Hattras toomorrow morning
2 - There is very little chance that it will develop into anything, but if it should, it would be sub tropical in nature
3 - No landfall is projected
Just now on the Weather Channel, Dr. Steeve Lyons said the followibg:
1 - It's moving N and should be off Hattras toomorrow morning
2 - There is very little chance that it will develop into anything, but if it should, it would be sub tropical in nature
3 - No landfall is projected
Good, stay over the water and head out to the open Atlantic northward to colder waters and die.
Here's what Accuweaather has to say about the situation this morning:
In addition to the thunderstorms, AccuWeather.com is monitoring a developing low pressure system well offshore of the Carolinas. This system could gain some tropical characteristics as it heads northward through this evening. Regardless, the impacts will be the same as it passes to the east of the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Downpours, gusty winds and rough surf are in order for that region today.
ZCZC MI
ATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL130 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
1. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OFCAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA HAS CHANGED LITTLE TODAY. CONDITIONSARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...AND THE OPPORTUNITYFOR THE SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE REACHING COLDEROCEAN WATERS IS DIMINISHING. SHOWERS FROM THIS SYSTEM ARECURRENTLY AFFECTING COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA. AS THE AREA OF LOWPRESSURE MOVES TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST AT 10-15 MPH...THESYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SOME SHOWERS TO THE AREA FOR THEREMAINDER OF TODAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48HOURS. THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE MISSION SCHEDULED FOR THISAFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELED. AN ADDITIONAL SPECIAL TROPICALWEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 8 PM EDT.
SEE LOCAL WEATHERFORECAST OFFICE PRODUCTS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM.
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FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN
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