Thread: Low near Bahamas

Twdat

tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
805 pm edt tue may 05 2009

tropical weather discussion for north america...central
america...gulf of mexico...caribbean sea...northern sections
of south america...and atlantic ocean to the african coast
from the equator to 32n. The following information is based
on satellite imagery...meteorological analysis...weather
observations...and radar.

Based on 1800 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 utc.

...the itcz...

The itcz axis is along 5n8w crossing the equator near 23w and
continuing to 2s30w to ne brazil near 2s44w. Scattered/numerous
strong convection is along the coast of w africa from eq-5n
between 8w-3e. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is from 1n-7n between 17w-22w.

...discussion...

Gulf of mexico...
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is inland over
s georgia...s alabama...and the florida panhandle from 29n-32n
between 80w-90w. Elsewhere...isolated moderate convection is
inland over ne mexico from 20n-25n between 99w-103w. The gulf of
mexico continues to have 10 kt southerly return flow. Fair to
partly cloudy weather with warm temperatures prevails over the
gulf of mexico. In the upper levels...an upper level trough is
over the n gulf n of 25n. Considerable moisture and broken high
cloud are inland over texas and the other n gulf states while
strong subsidence is over the gulf of mexico. Expect...on the
surface...continued fair to partly cloudy skies with se flow
over the next 24 hours.

Caribbean sea...
Fresh trades continue over the caribbean sea with strongest
winds along the coast of n colombia. Clusters of widely
scattered moderate convection are over n colombia and central
america from panama to belize. A surface trough is over the e
caribbean along 67w. Scattered showers are mainly e of 70w.
More scattered showers are over hispaniola...and jamaica. In the
upper levels...zonal flow is over the caribbean. Considerable
upper level moisture is over the s caribbean s of 15n.
Expect...little change over the next 24 hours.

Atlantic ocean...
A 1031 mb high is over the w atlantic near 35n54w. A surface
ridge extends w to n florida. An embedded surface trough is e of
the bahamas along 32n72w 28n74w 24n74w. Scattered shower are e
of the trough axis from 22n-30n between 66w-70w. Another trough
is over the central atlantic from 32n36w to 26n43w. Scattered
showers are from 28n-32n between 32w-41w. In the upper levels...
An upper level low is over the w atlantic near 30n52w. Another
upper level low is further e near 28n40w. An upper level ridge
is over the e atlantic e of 30w. In the tropics...a small upper
level high is centered over guyana near 6n59w. A large upper
level high is over w africa near 12n14w with a ridge axis
extending w to 7n45w. Expect...the surface trough e of the
bahamas to drift w over the over the next 24 hours with showers.

$$
formosa

Whine! It's too early to have to start dealing with "Tropical Storms"!!!!

Originally Posted by sue miller

Twdat

tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
805 pm edt tue may 05 2009

tropical weather discussion for north america...central
america...gulf of mexico...caribbean sea...northern sections
of south america...and atlantic ocean to the african coast
from the equator to 32n. The following information is based
on satellite imagery...meteorological analysis...weather
observations...and radar.

Based on 1800 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 utc.

...the itcz...

The itcz axis is along 5n8w crossing the equator near 23w and
continuing to 2s30w to ne brazil near 2s44w. Scattered/numerous
strong convection is along the coast of w africa from eq-5n
between 8w-3e. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is from 1n-7n between 17w-22w.

...discussion...

Gulf of mexico...
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is inland over
s georgia...s alabama...and the florida panhandle from 29n-32n
between 80w-90w. Elsewhere...isolated moderate convection is
inland over ne mexico from 20n-25n between 99w-103w. The gulf of
mexico continues to have 10 kt southerly return flow. Fair to
partly cloudy weather with warm temperatures prevails over the
gulf of mexico. In the upper levels...an upper level trough is
over the n gulf n of 25n. Considerable moisture and broken high
cloud are inland over texas and the other n gulf states while
strong subsidence is over the gulf of mexico. Expect...on the
surface...continued fair to partly cloudy skies with se flow
over the next 24 hours.

Caribbean sea...
Fresh trades continue over the caribbean sea with strongest
winds along the coast of n colombia. Clusters of widely
scattered moderate convection are over n colombia and central
america from panama to belize. A surface trough is over the e
caribbean along 67w. Scattered showers are mainly e of 70w.
More scattered showers are over hispaniola...and jamaica. In the
upper levels...zonal flow is over the caribbean. Considerable
upper level moisture is over the s caribbean s of 15n.
Expect...little change over the next 24 hours.

Atlantic ocean...
A 1031 mb high is over the w atlantic near 35n54w. A surface
ridge extends w to n florida. An embedded surface trough is e of
the bahamas along 32n72w 28n74w 24n74w. Scattered shower are e
of the trough axis from 22n-30n between 66w-70w. Another trough
is over the central atlantic from 32n36w to 26n43w. Scattered
showers are from 28n-32n between 32w-41w. In the upper levels...
An upper level low is over the w atlantic near 30n52w. Another
upper level low is further e near 28n40w. An upper level ridge
is over the e atlantic e of 30w. In the tropics...a small upper
level high is centered over guyana near 6n59w. A large upper
level high is over w africa near 12n14w with a ridge axis
extending w to 7n45w. Expect...the surface trough e of the
bahamas to drift w over the over the next 24 hours with showers.

$$
formosa

Tropical storms are fine for now, but must leave in the next 5 days and not come back until hurricane season.

So, we had a little low out there while I was cruising?
Glad it didn't amount to anything.
We never even knew.

That low moved to the east and caused a lot of rain in the eastern islands, San Juan, St Thomas/St John, even to the southern caribbean islands, many with flood warnings. All over now

It appears the disturbance near the Bahamas is fizzling.

Disturbance near the Bahamas fizzling

tropical weather discussion
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
205 pm edt tue may 19 2009

tropical weather discussion for north america...central
america...gulf of mexico...caribbean sea...northern sections
of south america...and atlantic ocean to the african coast
from the equator to 32n. The following information is based
on satellite imagery...meteorological analysis...weather
observations...and radar.

Based on 1200 utc surface analysis and satellite imagery
through 1715 utc.

...discussion...

The gulf of mexico...
A stationary front extends from south florida near 27n80w to
beyond west cuba near 23n82w. Radar imagery shows isolated
moderate convection over the straits of florida moving ne. High
pressure ridging behind the front is producing ne surface winds.
20-25 kt winds are over the ne gulf of mexico while 10-15 kt
winds are over the remainder of the gulf. Broken to overcast
multilayered clouds are over florida and the ne gulf n of 25n
and e of 87w. Mostly fair weather is over the remainder of the
gulf. In the upper levels...an upper level low is centered over
the ne gulf near 27n84w. The ne gulf and florida has abundant
upper air moisture while strong subsidence is over the remainder
of the gulf..expect...a 1009 mb low to develop over the central
gulf of mexico in 24 hours with convection mostly n of the
center

The invest has been cancelled. There is another low off the west coast of Florida and the lowest pressure is Ft Myers at 29.75. If anything gets going it will be another thread.

Originally Posted by blueyes23701

Tropical storms are fine for now, but must leave in the next 5 days and not come back until hurricane season.

No, no, no!
Tropical Storms are NOT fine.
That little TS by the name of Fay last year cost us about 5 grand after she got through sitting over our location for 36 hours.
Even worse, she cost another one of our members her entire home!