Thread: 2009 Hurricane Forecast: Accuweather

AccuWeather.com 2009 Hurricane Forecast

AccuWeather's Joe Bastardi Forecasts
Fewer U.S. Landfalls this Atlantic Hurricane Season
Fewer Named Storms than Recent Years May be Welcome News, Major Landfalling Hurricane is Still Possible

AccuWeather.com Chief Long-Range and Hurricane Forecaster Joe Bastardi has released an early hurricane season forecast for 2009 that calls for fewer landfalls in the United States, as well as a lower overall number of named storms.






AccuWeather.com - Weather Blogs - Weather News

Here's his chart, comparing what we had in 2008 with what he says we're likely to see in 2009 :

I'm not sure why he would put out predictions that say probably.

He is calling for less activitiy in the Caribbean and GOM, along with a greater probility of activity along the eastern seaoard of the US.

He gives four reasons for his forecast: 1- a weak La Nina transitionint to a weakto reverst El Nino; 2- strong SAL; 3- cooler SSTs in the "deep tropical Atlantic"; and 4- warmer than average SSTs in the Atlantic off the US East coast.

Well, Sue - It's JB, after all.

And, if you recall, he has been on this east coast kick for at least several years now.

Let's just HOPE he's right! The fewer the better!

However, Lulu . . . he is painting his 'target' from SC to Newfoundland....

AccuWeather.com: "4 Named Storms will affect the United States - 3 Hurricanes, including one Major Hurricane. storms may be more likely to form in the Atlantic Basin closer to the coast and the possibility of a major hurricane making landfall in the U.S. cannot be ruled out." We also issued this graphic:

49 days to the start of Hurricane season