Thread: Tropical Depression Gustav

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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

800 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICALSTORM FAY...LOCATED INLAND JUST WEST OF GAINESVILLE FLORIDA.

1. A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTEREDABOUT 400 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTALCONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SLOWDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS ITMOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 MPH.

2. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE LESSERANTILLES IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING. SOMESLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OFDAYS AS THE WAVE MOVES TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

$$ FORECASTER BLAKE

It happens this time of year EVERY year ....

Please do keep us updated.....

Yep.
The 2008 Cape Verde Train has left the station.

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1. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT350 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOWTO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REGARDLESS OFDEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TOOVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD TONIGHT ANDCONTINUE INTO TOMORROW.

Puerto Rico could be seeing some weather from this one by Saturday.

where it goes from there is a key I THINK

Unless it has changed, I believe recon has been tasked with visiting this disturbance tomorrow.

What Dr. Jeff Masters had to say about this one in his blog this morning:

A track through the Caribbean towards Jamaica currently appears to be the highest probability track to me. Residents of the Lesser Antilles can expect heavy rain and 40 mph wind gusts from 94L when it blows through Saturday and Sunday. Residents of the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Jamaica should keep a careful eye on this potentially dangerous disturbance.