Thread: downgraded to TS Dolly

Bulletin
Hurricane Dolly Advisory Number 10
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042008
400 Pm Cdt Tue Jul 22 2008

..dolly Becomes A Hurricane The Second Of The 2008 Hurricane
Season...

A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The Coast Of Texas From
Brownsville To Corpus Christi...and For The Northeast Coast Of
Mexico From Rio San Fernando Northward To The Border Between Mexico
And The United States. Preparations To Protect Life And Property
Should Be Rushed To Completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect From North Of Corpus
Christi To San Luis Pass.

A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Is In Effect From La
Pesca To South Of Rio San Fernando.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 400 Pm Cdt...2100z...the Center Of Hurricane Dolly Was Located
Near Latitude 24.6 North...longitude 95.3 West Or About 165 Miles...
265 Km...east-southeast Of Brownsville Texas.

Dolly Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 10 Mph...17 Km/hr.
This Motion Should Bring The Core Of Dolly Near Northeastern Mexico
Or Extreme Southern Texas On Wednesday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Have Increased To Near 75 Mph...120
Km/hr...with Higher Gusts. Dolly Is A Category One Hurricane On
The Saffir-simpson Scale. Some Strengthening Is Forecast Before
Landfall.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 15 Miles...30 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 160
Miles...260 Km. Tropical Storm Force Winds Should Begin To Reach
The Coasts Of Northeast Mexico And Southern Texas Later Tonight.

Minimum Central Pressure Reported By A Hurricane Hunter Aircraft Was
986 Mb...29.12 Inches.

Dolly Is Expected To Produce Total Rain Accumulations Of 6 To 10
Inches...with Isolated Amounts Of 15 Inches...over Much Of South
Texas And Northeastern Mexico Over The Next Few Days.

Coastal Storm Surge Flooding Of 4 To 6 Feet Above Normal Tide
Levels...along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...can Be
Expected Near And To The North Of Where The Center Makes Landfall.

A Few Tornadoes Are Possible Overnight Across The Lower And Middle
Texas Coasts.

Repeating The 400 Pm Cdt Position...24.6 N...95.3 W. Movement
Toward...northwest Near 10 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...75 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...986 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 700 Pm Cdt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 1000
Pm Cdt.

000
Wtnt34 Knhc 222359
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dolly Intermediate Advisory Number 10a
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042008
700 Pm Cdt Tue Jul 22 2008

...dolly Continues Northwestward...

A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The Coast Of Texas From Brownsville To Corpus Christi...and For The Northeast Coast Of Mexico From Rio San Fernando Northward To The Border Between Mexico And The United States. Preparations To Protect Life And Property Should Be Rushed To Completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect From North Of Corpus Christi To San Luis Pass.

A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Is In Effect From La Pesca To South Of Rio San Fernando.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office.

At 700 Pm Cdt the Center Of Hurricane Dolly Was Located Near Latitude 24.9 North...longitude 95.7 West Or About 130 Miles east-southeast Of Brownsville Texas.

Dolly Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 11 Mph and This Motion Is Expected To Continue Until Landfall Of The Center Of Dolly Along The Coast Of Northeastern Mexico Or Extreme Southern Texas Near Midday Wednesday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 75 Mph with Higher Gusts. Dolly Is A Category One Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson Scale. Some Additional Strengthening Is Forecast Before Landfall.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 15 Miles from The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 160 Miles. Tropical Storm Force Winds Should Begin To Reach The Coasts Of Northeastern Mexico And Southern Texas Later Tonight.

The Minimum Central Pressure Just Reported By An Air Force Reserve Unit Reconnaissance Aircraft Was 982 Mb
.
Dolly Is Expected To Produce Total Rain Accumulations Of 6 To 10 Inches...with Isolated Amounts Of 15 Inches...over Much Of South Texas And Northeastern Mexico Over The Next Few Days.

Coastal Storm Surge Flooding Of 4 To 6 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels...along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...can Be Expected Near And To The North Of Where The Center Makes Landfall.

A Few Tornadoes Are Possible Overnight Across The Lower And Middle Texas Coasts.

Repeating The 700 Pm Cdt Position...24.9 N...95.7 W. Movement
Toward...northwest Near 11 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...75 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...982 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National
Hurricane Center At 1000 Pm Cdt.

$$
Forecaster Franklin

TWC says only one way on/off S Padre Island... over the causeway bridge. (Sounds familiar, though we have two causeways here)

It will be closed when the winds reach a certain point - I think 45 mph is what they use here. Then everyone stays on their respective sides of the bridge - no more chance to evacuate.

Just announced:
The bridge will be closing at 10 PM, which is about an hour away.

Lyons says it is slowing a little at the present time, and the RF quatrant will likely hit S Padre

Cameron County residents asked to relocate
Cameron County - Residents in Cameron County living near levees and low lying areas, are being asked to relocate tonight. County Judge Carlos Cascos says the choice is ultimately up to the home owner but does advise them to relocate if possible

FROM http://www.newschannel5.tv/2008/7/22/994984/Residents-Living-Near-Levees-Asked-to-Move

They are afraid the levees may either fail or be overtopped.

Pressure still dropping . . .

000
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Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dolly Advisory Number 11
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042008
1000 Pm Cdt Tue Jul 22 2008

...dolly A Little Stronger...moving A Little Slower...

A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The Coast Of Texas From
Brownsville To Corpus Christi...and For The Northeastern Coast Of
Mexico From Rio San Fernando Northward To The Border Between Mexico
And The United States. Preparations To Protect Life And Property
Should Be Rushed To Completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect From North Of Corpus
Christi To San Luis Pass.

A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Are In Effect From La
Pesca To South Of Rio San Fernando.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 1000 Pm Cdt...0300z...the Center Of Hurricane Dolly Was Located
Near Latitude 25.1 North...longitude 96.0 West Or About 110 Miles...
175 Km...east-southeast Of Brownsville Texas.

Dolly Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 9 Mph...15 Km/hr. A
Further Reduction In Forward Speed Is Expected On Wednesday. On
The Forecast Track...the Center Of Dolly Will Be Along The Coast
Near The Texas/mexico Border Around Midday Wednesday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 80 Mph...130 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Dolly Is A Category One Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson
Scale. Some Additional Strengthening Is Expected Prior To Landfall.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 25 Miles...35 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 140
Miles...220 Km. Tropical Storm Force Winds Should Begin To Reach
The Coastline Within The Next Few Hours.

Minimum Central Pressure Estimated From Aircraft Reconnaissance Data
Is 981 Mb...28.97 Inches.

Dolly Is Expected To Produce Total Rain Accumulations Of 6 To 10
Inches...with Isolated Amounts Of 15 Inches...over Portions Of South
Texas And Northeastern Mexico Over The Next Few Days.

Coastal Storm Surge Flooding Of 4 To 6 Feet Above Normal Tide
Levels...along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...can Be
Expected Near And To The North Of Where The Center Makes Landfall.

Repeating The 1000 Pm Cdt Position...25.1 N...96.0 W. Movement
Toward...northwest Near 9 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...80 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...981 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 100 Am Cdt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 400
Am Cdt.

$$
Forecaster Franklin