Thread: Hurricane Fausto - SW of Manzanillo, Mexico

yep.
11 am advisory upgrades to hurricane.

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Wtpz32 Knhc 181440
Tcpep2
Bulletin
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 10
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep072008
800 Am Pdt Fri Jul 18 2008

...fausto Becomes A Hurricane...

At 800 Am Pdt the Center Of Hurricane Fausto Was Located Near Latitude 13.6 North...longitude 108.0 West Or About 445 Miles southwest Of Manzanillo Mexico.

Fausto Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 13 Mph. A Continued West-northwestward Motion With A Slight Decrease In Forward Speed Is Forecast During The Next Couple Of Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds Have Increased And Are Now Near 75 Mph with Higher Gusts. Additional Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next Couple Of Days.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 30 Miles from The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 115miles.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 987 Mb.

Repeating The 800 Am Pdt Position...13.6 N...108.0 W. Movement Toward...west-northwest Near 13 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...75 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...987 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 200 Pm Pdt.

$$
Forecaster Knabb

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Wtpz32 Knhc 182040
Tcpep2
Bulletin
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 11
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep072008
200 Pm Pdt Fri Jul 18 2008

...fausto Expected To Strengthen But Stay Well Offshore From Mexico...

At 200 Pm Pdt the Center Of Hurricane Fausto Was Located Near Latitude 14.1 North...longitude 108.4 West Or About 435 Miles southwest Of Manzanillo Mexico.

Fausto Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 10 Mph. And This General Motion Is Expected To Continue During The Next Couple Of Days. On This Track...fausto Is Expected To Remain Well Offshore From The Pacific Coast Of Mexico.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 75 Mph with Higher Gusts. Some Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next Day Or Two.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 30 Miles from The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 115 Miles.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 987 Mb.

Repeating The 200 Pm Pdt Position...14.1 N...108.4 W. Movement Toward...west-northwest Near 10 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...75 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...987 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 800 Pm Pdt.

$$
Forecaster Knabb

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Wtpz32 Knhc 190842
Tcpep2
Bulletin
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 13
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep072008
200 Am Pdt Sat Jul 19 2008

...fausto Continuing To Strengthen...

At 200 Am Pdt the Center Of Hurricane Fausto Was Located Near Latitude 14.8 North...longitude 109.4 West Or About 445 Miles southwest Of Manzanillo Mexico.

Fausto Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 8 Mph. And This General Motion Is Expected To Continue During The Next Couple Of Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 85 Mph with Higher Gusts. Slight Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 30 Miles from The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 115 Miles.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 980 Mb.



$$
Forecaster Rhome

According to tonight's forecast (about ten minutes ago), we are getting some of the moisture from Fausto up here in L.A. No rain. Just some humidity. The temperature today in the Valley was pretty comfy for summer (not in the 100s) so maybe that was an added benefit.

Bulletin
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 17
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep072008
200 Am Pdt Sun Jul 20 2008

At 200 Am Pdt The Center Of Hurricane Fausto Was Located Near Latitude 17.2 North...longitude 111.9 West Or About 515 Miles West-southwest Of Manzanillo Mexico.

Fausto Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 12 Mph. A Turn Toward The West-northwest Is Expected During The Next Couple Of Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 85 Mph With Higher Gusts. Weakening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 30 Miles From The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 140
Miles.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 980 Mb.

Repeating The 200 Am Pdt Position...17.2 N...111.9 W. Movement Toward...northwest Near 12 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...85 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...980 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 800 Am Pdt.

$$
Forecaster Rhome

Wtpz42 Knhc 210849
Tcdep2
Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 21
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep072008
200 Am Pdt Mon Jul 21 2008

Although It Appeared That Fausto Had Reached A Peak Intensity
Yesterday...the Eye Became More Defined Again On Infrared Images
And A Blend Of Dvorak Intensity Estimates From Tafb And Sab Support
A Current Wind Speed Of 85 Kt. In Spite Of The Marginal...24c Ocean
Temperatures...fausto Has Apparently Taken Advantage Of The Low-
Shear Environment. It Seems Unlikely That The Hurricane Can
Strengthen Any More Given The More Dominating Influence Of Cooler
Waters... And This Reasoning Is Reflected In The Official Intensity
Forecast Which Shows Weakening. Fausto Will Likely Be Dissipating
In Around 3 Days.

Initial Motion Is Northwestward...305/11. Dynamical Track Guidance
Is In Excellent Agreement On A Slight Bend To A West-northwestward
Heading As The Tropical Cyclone Moves On The Southwest Side Of An
Anticyclone Centered Over The Southwestern United States. This Is
Also The Track Shown By The Latest Official Forecast...which Is
Very Close To The Previous One.

Forecast Positions And Max Winds

Initial 21/0900z 20.1n 115.4w 85 Kt
12hr Vt 21/1800z 20.8n 117.0w 75 Kt
24hr Vt 22/0600z 21.6n 119.1w 65 Kt
36hr Vt 22/1800z 22.3n 121.0w 50 Kt
48hr Vt 23/0600z 22.8n 122.6w 35 Kt
72hr Vt 24/0600z 24.0n 126.0w 25 Kt
96hr Vt 25/0600z 25.0n 128.5w 20 Kt...remnant Low
120hr Vt 26/0600z 26.5n 131.5w 20 Kt...remnant Low

$$
Forecaster Roberts/pasch

Fausto is now a TROPICAL STORM

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Wtpz32 Knhc 220843
Tcpep2
Bulletin
Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number 25
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep072008
200 Am Pdt Tue Jul 22 2008

At 200 Am Pdt The Center Of Tropical Storm Fausto Was Located Near Latitude 20.7 North...longitude 119.6 West Or About 640 Miles West-southwest Of Cabo San Lucas Mexico.

Fausto Is Moving Toward The West Near 12 Mph And This General Motion Is Expected To Continue During The Next Couple Of Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds Have Decreased To Near 60 Mph With Higher Gusts. Additional Weakening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours And Fausto Could Become A Remnant Low Later Today.

Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 105 Miles From The Center.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 997 Mb.

Repeating The 200 Am Pdt Position...20.7 N...119.6 W. Movement Toward...west Near 12 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...60 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...997 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
800 Am Pdt.

$$
Forecaster Rhome