ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICALSTORM BERTHA...LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
1. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES EAST OF THE LESSERANTILLES HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICALDEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS AREBECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.
SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER-ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD BE FORMING. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL BE INVESTIGATING THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS FORMED. EVEN IF NO DEVELOPMENT OCCURS...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ALL INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AND FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE CONSULT STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
ZCZC MIATWO
AT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
1. DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT GULF OF MEXICO WATERS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE RISING AND DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
2. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT HAS JUST COMPLETED ITS MISSION IN THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS A BROAD CIRCULATION ...DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM LACKS A SINGLE WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. CONSEQUENTLY...THE SYSTEM IS NOT BEING CLASSIFIED AS ATROPICAL DEPRESSION AT THIS TIME. REGARDLESS...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY IN THEWINDWARD ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 20-25 MPH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...SINCE IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.
FORINFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE CONSULT STATEMENTS FROMYOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
3. A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF NICARAGUA IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BEFORE MOVING INTO CENTRAL AMERICA LATE TOMORROW. HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY TO MOVE OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS TOMORROW...WITH FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN.
.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
Six areas of 'potential development' in as many days. One is now a hurricane (Elida), one is a Tropical Storm (Fausto), one is dissipated, and three more, with varying probabilities for development are still being watched.
And that doesn't even count Betha, which has broked at least three July records!
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