TS BERTHA-Atlantic - Page 9 - Cruise Line Fans: Cruise Forum, Reviews and Chat From Real Cruisers

canarymoon · 07-09-2008, 04:40 PM

000
Wtnt32 Knhc 091437
Tcpat2
Bulletin
Hurricane Bertha Advisory Number 26
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al022008
1100 Am Ast Wed Jul 09 2008

...bertha Maintaining Category One Hurricane Strength...

At 1100 Am Ast...1500z...the Center Of Hurricane Bertha Was Located
Near Latitude 24.2 North...longitude 57.5 West Or About 550 Miles...
885 Km...northeast Of The Northern Leeward Islands And About 715
Miles...1150 Km...southeast Of Bermuda.

Bertha Is Now Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 12 Mph...
19 Km/hr. A Gradual Turn Toward The North-northwest With A Decrease
In Forward Speed Is Expected During The Next Couple Of Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 75 Mph...120 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Some Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 30 Miles...45 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 140
Miles...220 Km.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 987 Mb...29.15 Inches.

Repeating The 1100 Am Ast Position...24.2 N...57.5 W. Movement
Toward...west-northwest Near 12 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...75
Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...987 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
500 Pm Ast.

$$
Forecaster Rhome

canarymoon · 07-09-2008, 04:41 PM

Yep
She is reorganizing
They expect her to be back up to 85 mph by sometime late tomorrow

canarymoon · 07-09-2008, 05:12 PM

As of this morning, Dr Masters said he thought she could possibly get back to Cat 3 strength:

An eye is reappearing, and with Bertha over warm 28°C water, further intensification is likely today. None of the models are predicting a return to Category 3 status again, but Bertha could become a Category 2 hurricane again before wind shear increases once more

canarymoon · 07-09-2008, 05:33 PM

Looking awfully strong... could surprise us at 5!

canarymoon · 07-09-2008, 05:35 PM

May well be a cat 2 now, instead of not until tomorrow.

canarymoon · 07-09-2008, 05:42 PM

5 pm Advisory is already out
and
She's a Cat 2 again!

canarymoon · 07-09-2008, 05:45 PM

000
Wtnt32 Knhc 092032
Tcpat2
Bulletin
Hurricane Bertha Advisory Number 27
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al022008
500 Pm Ast Wed Jul 09 2008

...bertha Strengthens Back To A Category Two Hurricane...

At 500 Pm Ast The Center Of Hurricane Bertha Was Located Near Latitude 24.8 North...longitude 58.1 West Or About 560 Miles Northeast Of The Northern Leeward Islands And About 660 Miles Southeast Of Bermuda.

Bertha Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 12 Mph. A Gradual Turn Toward The North-northwest With A Decrease In Forward Speed Is Expected During The Next Couple Of Days.

maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 105 Mph with Higher Gusts. Additional Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours And Bertha Could Again Become A Major Hurricane.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 30 Miles From The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 140
Miles.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 970 Mb.

Large Swells And High Surf Could Begin Affecting Portions Of Bermuda Tonight Or Tomorrow.

Repeating The 500 Pm Ast Position...24.8 N...58.1 W. Movement
Toward...northwest Near 12 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...105 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...970 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
1100 Pm Ast.

$$
Forecaster Rhome

AlanKL · 07-09-2008, 06:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by canarymoon

Depending on where (and how strong) the storm is at that point, your itinerary could be altered for the safety of the ship and its passengers. The primary concern of the captain muct be to keep everyone safe. If seas are too high, it won't be possible to dock in Bermuda at all . . .

Be prepared for missed or alternate ports.
Take along your favorite motion sickness remedy, just in case.

Since we're arriving Bermuda 9am July 14th(Monday), it's starting to look pretty bad again. Where does aROyal Caribbean go if they cancel Bermuda on a 5 day crusie out of New Jersey?

sue miller · 07-09-2008, 06:24 PM

As long as Bertha stays to the east of Burmuda you should be fine, the east is the clean side of the storm, and if it stcks to the cone it will be past by monday

This is smaller than original. Click this bar to view the full image. The original is 895x716, size 25KB

canarymoon · 07-09-2008, 11:52 PM

WTNT32 KNHC 100245
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 PM AST WED JUL 09 2008

...BERTHA EXPECTED TO MOVE MORE SLOWLY BUT COULD REGAIN MAJOR
HURRICANE STATUS...

IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXTENT TO WHICH BERTHA COULD IMPACT BERMUDA. INTERESTS ON THAT ISLAND SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BERTHA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

AT 1100 PM AST THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.9 WEST OR ABOUT 590 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND BERTHA COULD REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE ENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...25.5 N...58.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BROWN