Thread: TS BERTHA-Atlantic

Wonder what that cone will look like when we get up tomorrow?

WTNT32 KNHC 060842
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 AM AST SUN JUL 06 2008

...BERTHA APPROACHING WARMER WATERS AND EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1310
MILES...2110 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR. A GENERAL
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AS BERTHA REMAINS OVER
THE WATERS OF THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. IT IS MUCH TOO EARLY
TO DETERMINE IF BERTHA WILL EVENTUALLY AFFECT ANY LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...17.3 N...43.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

One of our local TV stations announced on the news last night that they would be interrupting regular programs anytime there were updates from the NHC on Bertha ... as long as there was a threat of it hitting the Carolina coast.

Hopefully, it will blow out to sea!

You know. Lulu, the OFFICIAL word from the NHC at this point is that it is too early to telll with any certainty if it will be a threat to ANY land at all!

A lot depends on how strong it is when it gets to the western end of that high. If Strong, will go around... If not, will go more west.

Could be a FISH (not affect any land at all); could head for Bermuda; could brush or landfall somewhere in the eastern seaboard (with NC the most likely IF that happens), could even peter out completely (not likely); and there's just no telling which of those scenarios - if any - will plaly out. No telling this early.

Bertha has already done some things other storms haven't, so it's a crap shoot right now!

I do wish the media wouldn't try to alarm people, but sensationalism sells.

On the other hand, if it jars some people into preparing, that's a good thing, because all of us in coastal areas should be prepared all season long, every season. But some people just don't get that.

000
WTNT32 KNHC 061444
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 AM AST SUN JUL 06 2008

...BERTHA MOVING BRISKLY WESTWARD AND FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...

AT 1100 AM AST THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST OR ABOUT 1185 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AS BERTHA REMAINS OVER THE WATERS OF THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. IT IS MUCH TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF BERTHA WILL EVENTUALLY AFFECT ANY LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER USTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...17.4 N...45.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Originally Posted by canarymoon

I do wish the media wouldn't try to alarm people, but sensationalism sells.

On the other hand, if it jars some people into preparing, that's a good thing, because all of us in coastal areas should be prepared all season long, every season. But some people just don't get that.

CM .... Like you're saying, it's a very long season, every season.

No Panic for sure! Still, so many of us in our area have ourselves and/or have friends/family with beach houses that we are always quite interested. Our local TV is providing info that we WANT to know.