TS BERTHA-Atlantic - Page 20 - Cruise Line Fans: Cruise Forum, Reviews and Chat From Real Cruisers

MD11F · 07-19-2008, 12:13 AM

Haven't had a chance to view the maps, but I hope she does not do a circle and head west again, like was it Jeane, Sheila, in 2004?

canarymoon · 07-19-2008, 09:37 AM

I don't think she will. But she is still a hurricane this morning, hasn't transitioned yet!

canarymoon · 07-19-2008, 09:39 AM

000
Wtnt32 Knhc 190829
Tcpat2
Bulletin
Hurricane Bertha Advisory Number 65
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al022008
500 Am Ast Sat Jul 19 2008

...bertha Refuses To Weaken...still A Hurricane...

At 500 Am Ast the Center Of Hurricane Bertha Was Located Near Latitude 41.2 North...longitude 47.4 West Or About 475 Miles southeast Of Cape Race Newfoundland.

Bertha Is Moving Toward The Northeast Near 25 Mph and This General Motion With An Increase In Forward Speed Is Expected During The Next Day Or Two.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 75 Mph with Higher Gusts. Bertha Should Slowly Weaken Over The Next Couple Of Days And Begin To Lose Tropical Characteristics Later Today.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 45 Miles from The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 175 Miles.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 989 Mb.

Repeating The 500 Am Ast Position...41.2 N...47.4 W. Movement
Toward...northeast Near 25 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...75 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...989 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
1100 Am Ast.

$$
Forecaster Avila

Char · 07-19-2008, 09:43 AM

Sounds like the Energizer Bunny of hurricanes!

sue miller · 07-19-2008, 12:37 PM

Wtnt42 Knhc 191451
Tcdat2
Hurricane Bertha Discussion Number 66
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al022008
1100 Am Edt Sat Jul 19 2008

Bertha Is Still A Hurricane...even Though It Is Now Well Past 40
Degrees North Latitude And Over Rather Chilly Sea-surface
Temperatures. A Quikscat Pass At Around 0820z Produced
25-km-resolution Retrieved Wind Speeds As Strong As About 60 Kt In
Deep Convection...and These Could Certainly Be Underestimates.
Dvorak Intensity Estimates At 12z Remained 65 Kt...and That Is The
Advisory Intensity. Bertha's Long Life As A Tropical Cyclone Is
Probably Nearing Its End...however...since It Is So Quickly Gaining
Latitude. The Official Forecast Calls For Bertha To Be An
Extratropical Cyclone Within About 24 Hours And Then Be Absorbed By
A Larger System In Less Than Three Days.

The Hurricane Is Racing Along At 035/22...and The Forward Speed Will
Probably Increase During The Next Couple Of Days As The Cyclone
Enters The Full-blown Mid-latitude Westerlies. Model Guidance Is
In Very Good Agreement...which Is Not Surprising When Steering
Currents Are This Well-defined. The New Official Track Is Right On
The Previous One.

Forecast Positions And Max Winds

Initial 19/1500z 43.1n 45.4w 65 Kt
12hr Vt 20/0000z 45.9n 42.6w 60 Kt
24hr Vt 20/1200z 50.5n 37.7w 55 Kt...extratropical
36hr Vt 21/0000z 55.7n 31.2w 50 Kt...extratropical
48hr Vt 21/1200z 60.8n 24.0w 50 Kt...extratropical
72hr Vt 22/1200z...absorbed

$$
Forecaster Knabb

canarymoon · 07-19-2008, 12:56 PM

Bertha sets a new record
Hurricane Bertha is now the longest-lived July hurricane on record (and the longest-lived hurricane so early in the season). Bertha has been a hurricane 7.5 days, which eclipses the previous record of 7 days held by Hurricane Emily of 2005. Bertha is also the longest-lived tropical storm on record for July (and for so early in the season), as well as the farthest east forming tropical storm and hurricane for so early in the season. I find it amazing we've had a July storm that has lasted nearly 17 days! Bertha's days are numbered, though. Bertha will reach cold water less than 70°F by Sunday, which should finally kill it.

FROM Wunder Blog : Weather Underground

canarymoon · 07-20-2008, 07:00 AM

000
Wtnt32 Knhc 200855
Tcpat2
Bulletin
Tropical Storm Bertha Advisory Number 69
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al022008
500 Am Ast Sun Jul 20 2008

...bertha Moving Rapidly Northeastward Over The North
Atlantic...about To Lose Tropical Characteristics...

At 500 Am Ast...0900z...the Center Of Tropical Storm Bertha Was
Located Near Latitude 48.5 North...longitude 38.9 West Or About 670
Miles...1080 Km...east-northeast Of Cape Race Newfoundland.

Bertha Is Moving Toward The Northeast Near 30 Mph...48 Km/hr...and A
A Generally Northeastward Motion With An Increase In Forward Speed
Is Expected During The Next Couple Of Days...until The System Is
Absorbed By A Larger Extratropical Cyclone.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 70 Mph...110 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Bertha Will Likely Become An Extratropical Storm Later This
Morning...and Very Slow Weakening Is Expected Over The Next Day Or
Two.

Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 230 Miles...370 Km
From The Center.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 985 Mb...29.09 Inches.

Repeating The 500 Am Ast Position...48.5 N...38.9 W. Movement
Toward...northeast Near 30 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...70 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...985 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
1100 Am Ast.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Char · 07-20-2008, 07:16 AM

Sheesh! Still going strong!

canarymoon · 07-20-2008, 07:52 AM

Yep.
70 mph winds and about to transition.... some storm!

canarymoon · 07-20-2008, 08:29 AM

Are you ready for this???
She appears to be heading for Iceland . . .