000
Wtnt32 Knhc 131735
Tcpat2
Bulletin
Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 42a
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al022008
200 Pm Ast Sun Jul 13 2008
...bertha Hesitates Again...refuses To Move...
A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For Bermuda.
At 200 Pm Ast The Center Of Tropical Storm Bertha Was Located Near Latitude 30.0 North...longitude 63.0 West Or About 190 Miles South-southeast Of Bermuda.
Bertha Once Again Has Stalled And Little Motion Is Anticipated During The Next Few Hours. However...bertha Should Begin To Move Toward The Northwest Near 2 Mph This Afternoon Or Tonight. A Gradual Turn To The North Is Expected During The Next 24 To 36 Hours. On This Track...the Center Of Bertha Is Expected To Slowly Pass Not Far To The Southeast And East Of Bermuda During The Next Day Or So...although The Motion Could Be Erratic At Times And Could Bring The Center Of Bertha Closer To Bermuda Than The Forecast Track Indicates.
Preliminary Data Data From A Reconnaissance Plane Indicate That The Maximum Sustained Winds Remain Near 65 Mph With Higher Gusts. Little Change In Strength Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours.
Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 140 Miles From The Center.
Latest Minimum Central Pressure Measured By A Reconnaissance Aircraft Was 991 Mb.
Large Swells And High Surf Are Affecting Bermuda...and These Conditions Are Expected To Persist For The Next Couple Of Days.
The Outer Bands Of Bertha Could Produce Rainfall Amounts In Bermuda Of 2 To 4 Inches During The Next Couple Of Days.
Repeating The 200 Pm Ast Position...30.0 N...63.0 W. Movement... Stationary. Maximum Sustained Winds...65 Mph. Minimum Central
Pressure...991 Mb.
The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 500 Pm Ast.
000
Wtnt32 Knhc 132026
Tcpat2
Bulletin
Tropical Storm Bertha Advisory Number 43
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al022008
500 Pm Ast Sun Jul 13 2008
...bertha Still A Vigorous Tropical Storm...
A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For Bermuda.
At 500 Pm Ast The Center Of Tropical Storm Bertha Was Located Near Latitude 30.2 North...longitude 63.1 West Or About 175 Miles Southeast Of Bermuda.
Bertha Has Been meandering Since Yesterday But It Appears That A Motion Toward The Northwest Near 2 Mph Should Finally Begin Tonight. A Gradual Turn To The North Is Expected During The Next 24 To 36 Hours. On This Track...the Center Of Bertha Is Expected To Slowly Pass Not Far To The Southeast And East Of Bermuda During The Next Day Or So.
Data From A Reconnaissance Plane Indicate That Maximum Sustained Winds Remain Near 65 Mph With Higher Gusts. Little Change In Strength Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours.
Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 140 Miles From The Center.
Minimum Central Pressure Reported By A Reconnaissance Aircraft Was 990 Mb.
Large Swells And High Surf Are Affecting Bermuda...and These Conditions Are Expected To Persist For The Next Couple Of Days.
The Outer Bands Of Bertha Could Produce Rainfall Amounts In Bermuda Of 2 To 4 Inches During The Next Couple Of Days.
Repeating The 500 Pm Ast Position...30.2 N...63.1 W. Movement Toward...northwest Near 2 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...65 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...990 Mb.
An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 800 Pm Ast Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 1100 Pm Ast.
000
Wtnt32 Knhc 132343
Tcpat2
Bulletin
Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 43a
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al022008
800 Pm Ast Sun Jul 13 2008
...bertha Drifting Northwestward...
A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For Bermuda.
At 800 Pm Ast The Center Of Tropical Storm Bertha Was Located Near Latitude 30.3 North...longitude 63.1 West Or About 170 Miles Southeast Of Bermuda.
Bertha Has Been Moving Slowly Northwestward Near 2 Mph During The Past Several Hours. A Gradual Turn To The North Is Expected During The Next 24 To 36 Hours. On This Track...the Center Of Bertha Is Expected To Slowly Pass Not Far To The Southeast And East Of Bermuda During The Next Day Or Two.
Maximum Sustained Winds Remain Near 65 Mph With Higher Gusts. Little Change In Strength Is Forecast During The Next Couple Of Days.
Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 140 Miles From The Center.
Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 990 Mb.
Large Swells And High Surf Are Affecting Bermuda...and These Conditions Are Expected To Persist For The Next Couple Of Days.
The Outer Bands Of Bertha Could Produce Rainfall Amounts In Bermuda Of 2 To 4 Inches Within The Next Couple Of Days.
Repeating The 800 Pm Ast Position...30.3 N...63.1 W. Movement Toward...northwest Near 2 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...65 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...990 Mb.
The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
1100 Pm Ast.
Interesting comments from this afternoons TWD at the NHC:
BERTHA FOOLED ME ONCE AGAIN. IT APPEARS THAT BERTHA BEGAN A NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT EARLIER TODAY BUT...IN FACT...IT WAS MOVING IN CIRCLES AND IT COULD BE DOING ONE OF THESE LOOPS AGAIN. MODEL GUIDANCE...WHICH IS NOW MORE IN GOOD AGREEMENT...INSISTS THAT THE NORTHWARD MOTION SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. IN ABOUT 48 HOURS...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO BE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND BE STEERED SLOWLY EASTWARD. THE CIRCULATION SHOULD THEN EXPAND WHILE GRADUALLY ACQUIRING EXTRATROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. ONE WAY OR ANOTHER IT APPEARS THAT BERTHA COULD BE WITH US FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS.
Tropical Storm Bertha remains a threat as is expected to pass roughly 50 nautical miles to the east of Bermuda on Monday. Tropical storm force winds and very rough seas are forecast for tonight until early Tuesday, with prolonged, and sometimes heavy rain likely for Monday.
WTNT32 KNHC 140859
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 AM AST MON JUL 14 2008
...WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARRIVING IN BERMUDA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
AT 500 AM AST THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.6 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST EAST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY.
BERTHA IS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. COMMANDERS POINT...AN ELEVATED OBSERVING SITE IN BERMUDA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 41 MPH WITH A GUST TO 56 MPH.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB.
LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 3 TO 5
INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...31.5 N...63.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 100
AM AST.
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