WTNT32 KNHC 121733
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
200 PM AST SAT JUL 12 2008
...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS A SLIGHTLY WEAKER BERTHA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
AT 200 PM AST THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.5 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
BERTHA HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. HOWEVER...BERTHA SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH LATER TONIGHT. THIS GENERAL SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PASS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA...BUT THE MOTION COULD OCCASIONALLY BE ERRATIC.
PRELIMINARY DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NO IMPORTANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 983 MB.
LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 1 TO 2 INCHES DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...29.9 N...62.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
Significant southeasterly swells affect Bermuda as Hurricane Bertha approaches, becoming easterly Monday before diminishing as a notherly swell Tuesday. A tropical storm warning will likely remain in force for high winds and seas for the next couple of days during the passage of Hurricane Bertha to the east.
WTNT32 KNHC 122035
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 PM AST SAT JUL 12 2008
...BERTHA BARELY A HURRICANE...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
AT 500 PM AST THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
BERTHA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE DAY BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A NORTHWARD DRIFT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA WILL BE SLOWLY PASSING TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA...DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BUT THE MOTION COULD OCCASIONALLY BE ERRATIC.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER USTS. BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 984 MB.
LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 1 TO 2 INCHES DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...29.9 N...62.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 1 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.
WTNT32 KNHC 122356
TCPAT2
Bulletin
Hurricane Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 39a
NWS TPC/National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022008
800 Pm AST Sat Jul 12 2008
...Category One Bertha Sitting Stationary Southeast Of Bermuda...
A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For Bermuda.
At 800 Pm Ast...0000z...the Center Of Hurricane Bertha Was Located
Near Latitude 29.9 North...longitude 62.5 West Or About 215 Miles...
345 Km...southeast Of Bermuda.
Bertha Has Been Nearly Stationary During The Day...but Is Expected
To Resume A Northward Drift Later Tonight Or On Sunday That Is
Forecast To Continue On Monday. On This Track...the Center Of
Bertha Will Be Very Slowly Passing Southeast And East Of Bermuda
During The Next Couple Of Days...but The Motion Could Occasionally
Be Erratic.
Maximum Sustained Winds Are Estimated To Be Near 75 Mph...120
Km/hr...with Higher Gusts. Bertha Is A Category One Hurricane On
The Saffir-simpson Scale. Little Change In Strength Is Forecast
During The Next Couple Of Days.
Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 35 Miles...55 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 140
Miles...220 Km.
The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Based On Earlier Aircraft
Data Is 984 Mb...29.06 Inches.
Large Swells And High Surf Are Affecting Bermuda...and These
Conditions Are Expected To Persist For The Next Couple Of Days.
The Outer Bands Of Bertha Are Expected To Produce Rainfall Amounts
In Bermuda Of 1 To 2 Inches During The Next Two Days.
Repeating The 800 Pm Ast Position...29.9 N...62.5 W.
Movement...stationary. Maximum Sustained Winds...75 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...984 Mb.
The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
1100 Pm Ast.
Bertha barely lmover overnight. Still a minimal hurricane, with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph, and looking a little less impressive at the 5 ocklck advisory.
Awaiting the 8 am advisory now. Will post it soon.
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