Thread: TS BERTHA-Atlantic

I don't, but they will go south, not north, the day you leave port if the weather is too rough to port, they will go south, possibly a sea day, or just overnight, I doubt another port, then return to Bermuda as soon as it is safe to go into port As you can see from the cone above, on Monday she is already past bermuda, so everythng depends on the weather where the port is will determine what the Captain deems necessary for safety

Bermuda Update for Thursday July 10th 200820:00 ADST

Well nothing much has changed today in regard to the tracking of Hurricane Bertha, she is expect to intensify in the next 24 hours and eventually stall just to the ESE of Bermuda. This is where the predictions end as she will be in weak steering winds and any movement will be erratic so she could very well threaten us with some storm force wind on Sunday these are my thoughts and not official. The residents here have been advised to keep a close watch on Bertha over the weekend because of the unpredictability of her track especially if her movement is slow or stationary.

. . . So its another few days of waiting to see just how things materialize with Bertha they say by Monday another east moving trough will pick up whats left of Bertha and take her NE into the Atlantic

000
Wtnt32 Knhc 110831
Tcpat2
Bulletin
Hurricane Bertha Advisory Number 33
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al022008
500 Am Ast Fri Jul 11 2008

...bertha Continues To Move Slowly Northwestward With Little Change In Strength...

Interests On Bermuda Should Closely Monitor The Progress Of Bertha. A Tropical Storm Watch May Be Issued For The Island Later Today.


At 500 Am Ast The Center Of Hurricane Bertha Was Located Near Latitude 28.0 North...longitude 61.7 West Or About 350 Miles South-southeast Of Bermuda.

Bertha Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 7 Mph. A Turn Toward The North Or North-northeast And A Slower Forward Motion Are
Expected During The Next 48 Hours. on This Track...bertha Will
Slowly Approach Bermuda On Friday And Saturday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are near 85 Mph with Higher Gusts. Bertha Is A Category One Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson Scale. Some Fluctuations In Strength Are Possible During The Next Couple Of Days.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 30 Miles From The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 140 Miles...220 Km.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 980 Mb.

large Swells And High Surf Are Affecting Bermuda...and These Conditions Are Expected To Persist For The Next Few Days.

Repeating The 500 Am Ast Position...28.0 N...61.7 W. Movement
Toward...northwest Near 7 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...85 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...980 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
1100 Am Ast.

$$
Forecaster Beven

000
WTNT32 KNHC 111435
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 AM AST FRI JUL 11 2008

...BERTHA ABOUT A WEEK OLD...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE SCHEDULED FOR
LATER TODAY...

AT 11 AM AST .THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.


AT 1100 AM AST THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST OR ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MHP. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... BERTHA'S FRINGES WILL BE NEARING BERMUDA ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRPLANE IS SCHEDULED TO CHECK BERTHA LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...28.5 N...62.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Bermuda Weather Service says the island may see 9-13 foot waves by Sunday.

The National Hurricane Center says there's a 47% chance of sustained tropical storm force winds,

Based on latest satellite, Bertha looks well organized and may be strengthening some.

000
WTNT32 KNHC 111747
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
200 PM AST FRI JUL 11 2008

...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE REACHES BERTHA...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

AT 200 PM AST THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... BERTHA'S FRINGES WILL BE NEARING BERMUDA ON SATURDAY.

PRELIMINARY DATA FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE
MAXIMUM WINDS COULD BE A LITTLE BIT STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY
ESTIMATED. HOWEVER...UNTIL THIS DATA IS CONFIRMED...THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 977 MB.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...28.7 N...62.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA