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Old 06-28-2008, 04:41 PM canarymoon is offline     #11 (permalink)
Advisory

Here's the 2 pm PDT (5 PM eastern) Advisory:

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 282030
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032008
200 PM PDT SAT JUN 28 2008

...TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY...

AT 200 PM PDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1165 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

CRISTINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB.

REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...14.6 N...125.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN



Old 06-28-2008, 04:47 PM sue miller is offline     #12 (permalink)
Yuk Could slow then down a bit!!

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Old 06-29-2008, 06:40 AM canarymoon is offline     #13 (permalink)
Cristina @ 2 AM PDT (5 AM Eastern) 6/29

000wtpz33 K
Nhc 290828tcpep3
Bulletintropical Storm Cristina Advisory Number 7
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
Ep032008200 Am Pdt Sun Jun 29 2008

...cristina Weakens...

At 200 Am Pdt The Center Of Tropical Storm Cristina Was Located Near Latitude 14.6 North ... Longitude 126.8 West Or About1245 Miles West-southwest Of The Southern Tip Of Baja California.

Cristina Is Moving Toward The West Near 9 Mph...15 Km/hr...and Thisgeneral Motion Is Expected To Continue For The Next Couple Of Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds Have Decreased To Near 45 Mph With Higher Gusts. Additional Weakening Is Forecast Duringthe Next 24 Hours.

Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 45 Miles From The Center.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1002 Mb.

Repeating The 200 Am Pdt Position...14.6 N...126.8 W. Movementtoward...west Near 9 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...45 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1002 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At800 Am Pdt.

$$forecaster Pasch



Old 06-29-2008, 01:37 PM canarymoon is offline     #14 (permalink)
000
Wtpz33 Knhc 291431
Tcpep3
Bulletin
Tropical Storm Cristina Advisory Number 8
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep032008
800 Am Pdt Sun Jun 29 2008

...cristina Still A Tropical Storm...

At 800 Am Pdt The Center Of Tropical Storm Cristina Was Located Near Latitude 14.5 North...longitude 127.5 West Or About 1290 Miles West-southwest Of The Southern Tip Of Baja California.

Cristina Is Moving Toward The West Near 8 Mph And This General Motion Is Expected To Continue For The Next Couple Of Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 40 Mph With Higher Gusts. Additional Weakening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours.

Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 60 Miles From The Center.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1004 Mb.

Repeating The 800 Am Pdt Position...14.5 N...127.5 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...40 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...1004 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 200 Pm Pdt.

$$
Forecaster Roberts/avila

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Old 06-29-2008, 01:46 PM canarymoon is offline     #15 (permalink)



Old 06-30-2008, 09:42 AM canarymoon is offline     #16 (permalink)
000
Wtpz33 Knhc 300828
Tcpep3
Bulletin
Tropical Storm Cristina Advisory Number 11
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep032008
200 Am Pdt Mon Jun 30 2008

At 200 Am Pdt...0900z...the Center Of Tropical Storm Cristina Was
Located Near Latitude 14.2 North...longitude 129.9 West Or About
1440 Miles...2315 Km...west-southwest Of The Southern Tip Of Baja
California.

Cristina Is Moving Toward The West Near 10 Mph...17 Km/hr...and This
Motion Is Expected To Continue For The Next 48 Hours.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 45 Mph...75 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Some Weakening Is Forecast During The Next 24
Hours.

Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 50 Miles...85 Km
From The Center.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1002 Mb...29.59 Inches.

Repeating The 200 Am Pdt Position...14.2 N...129.9 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 10 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...45 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...1002 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
800 Am Pdt.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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Old 06-30-2008, 09:43 AM canarymoon is offline     #17 (permalink)

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Old 06-30-2008, 09:44 AM canarymoon is offline     #18 (permalink)

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Old 06-30-2008, 09:46 AM canarymoon is offline     #19 (permalink)
From the 5 am discssion:

The cloud pattern associated with Cristina has become less organized
over the past several hours . . .

Dynamical guidance continues to show
little interaction between Cristina and Boris...in terms of
steering. Therefore the principal steering mechanism is the
easterly current on the south side of a mid-level ridge. A
continued slightly south of due west motion is likely over the next
several days. The official track forecast is close to the model
consensus and fairly similar to that from the previous advisory
package.


Forecast positions and Max winds
initial 30/0900z 14.2n 129.9w 40 kt
12hr VT 30/1800z 13.9n 131.7w 35 kt
24hr VT 01/0600z 13.6n 133.9w 35 kt
36hr VT 01/1800z 13.5n 136.0w 30 kt
48hr VT 02/0600z 13.5n 138.0w 25 kt...remnant low
72hr VT 03/0600z 13.5n 141.5w 25 kt...remnant low
96hr VT 04/0600z 13.5n 145.5w 20 kt...remnant low
120hr VT 05/0600z 13.5n 149.0w 20 kt...remnant low

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Old 06-30-2008, 07:33 PM canarymoon is offline     #20 (permalink)
Cristina has weakened
to a Tropical Depression.

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