boris' overall satellite presentation is not particularly impressive at this time. However...the subjective Dvorak intensity estimates are unchanged and so is the initial intensity estimate of 60 kt. While the overall environment does not appear ideal for intensification...Boris still has a chance to become a hurricane
within the next 24 hours. Interestingly...the statistical-dynamical intensity models...SHIPS and lgem...show little or no strengthening while the purely dynamical models...HWRF and GFDL...both show Boris intensifying to near 80 kt. The official forecast splits the difference and shows a little strengthening
later today. Beyond 24 hours...all of the available guidance shows gradual weakening as Boris begins to encounter cooler waters and a more stable air mass.
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Tropical Storm Boris Advisory Number 16
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep022008
200 Pm Pdt Mon Jun 30 2008
...boris Moving A Little Faster
At 200 Pm Pdt...2100z...the Center Of Tropical Storm Boris Was
Located Near Latitude 14.7 North...longitude 122.1 West Or About 980
Miles...1575 Km...west-southwest Of The Southern Tip Of Baja
California.
Boris Is Moving Toward The West Near 14 Mph...22 Km/hr. This
Motion Is Expected To Continue During The Next 12 To 24 Hours With A
Gradual Decrease In Forward Speed.
Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 65 Mph...100 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. No Significant Change In Strength Is Expected Today But A
Gradual Weakening Should Begin On Tuesday.
Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 115 Miles...185 Km
From The Center.
Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 995 Mb...29.38 Inches.
Repeating The 200 Pm Pdt Position...14.7 N...122.1 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 14 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...65 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...995 Mb.
The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
800 Pm Pdt.
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Hurricane Boris Advisory Number 18
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep022008
200 Am Pdt Tue Jul 01 2008
...boris Strengthens Into A Hurricane...the First Of 2008 Season...
At 200 Am Pdt...0900z...the Center Of Hurricane Boris Was Located
Near Latitude 14.6 North...longitude 124.2 West Or About 1095 Miles
...1765 Km...west-southwest Of The Southern Tip Of Baja California.
Boris Is Moving Toward The West Near 14 Mph...22 Km/hr...and This
Motion Is Expected To Continue For The Next 24 Hours With Some
Reduction In Forward Speed. The System May Move More Toward The
West-northwest On Wednesday.
Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 75 Mph...120 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Little Change In Strength Is Forecast During The Next 12
Hours...and A Slow Decrease In Wind Speed Is Possible By The End Of
The Day Or Early Wednesday.
Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 40 Miles...65 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 85
Miles...140 Km.
The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 989 Mb...29.21 Inches.
Repeating The 200 Am Pdt Position...14.6 N...124.2 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 14 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...75 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...989 Mb.
The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
800 Am Pdt.
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Tropical Storm Boris Advisory Number 20
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep022008
200 Pm Pdt Tue Jul 01 2008
...boris Weakens Slightly To A Strong Tropical Storm...
At 200 Pm Pdt...2100z...the Center Of Tropical Storm Boris Was
Located Near Latitude 15.0 North...longitude 125.3 West Or About
1145 Miles...1840 Km...west-southwest Of The Southern Tip Of Baja
California.
Boris Is Moving Toward The West Near 8 Mph...13 Km/hr. A General
Westward Or West-northwestward Motion...with Little Change In
Forward Speed...is Expected During The Next Couple Of Days.
Maximum Sustained Winds Have Decreased And Are Now Near 70 Mph...110
Km/hr...with Higher Gusts. Continued Gradual Weakening Is Forecast
During The Next Couple Of Days.
Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 105 Miles...165 Km
From The Center.
Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 991 Mb...29.26 Inches.
Repeating The 200 Pm Pdt Position...15.0 N...125.3 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...70 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...991 Mb.
The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
800 Pm Pdt.
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