Thread: EPAC: Invest 91E - Gulf of Tehuantepec

No upgrade from models.

WHXX01 KMIA 031220
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1220 UTC TUE JUN 3 2008

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP912008) 20080603 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
080603 1200 080604 0000 080604 1200 080605 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 15.3N 93.3W 16.5N 93.7W 17.5N 94.1W 18.9N 94.5W
BAMD 15.3N 93.3W 16.7N 93.6W 17.8N 93.7W 18.6N 94.0W
BAMM 15.3N 93.3W 16.7N 93.7W 17.8N 94.0W 18.7N 94.6W
LBAR 15.3N 93.3W 16.2N 93.9W 17.3N 94.9W 18.4N 95.8W
SHIP 25KTS 29KTS 30KTS 36KTS
DSHP 25KTS 25KTS 26KTS 33KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
080605 1200 080606 1200 080607 1200 080608 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 20.2N 95.0W 23.0N 96.9W 25.0N 99.6W 26.6N 102.1W
BAMD 19.2N 94.6W 20.6N 96.3W 21.9N 98.5W 22.7N 100.6W
BAMM 19.4N 95.4W 20.8N 97.2W 21.6N 99.9W 22.1N 102.9W
LBAR 19.8N 96.9W 22.6N 98.7W 25.0N 100.1W 25.9N 101.1W
SHIP 38KTS 42KTS 48KTS 52KTS
DSHP 35KTS 34KTS 28KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 15.3N LONCUR = 93.3W DIRCUR = 355DEG SPDCUR = 3KT
LATM12 = 14.7N LONM12 = 93.1W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 = 3KT
LATM24 = 14.0N LONM24 = 93.4W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 K
NHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE JUN 3 2008
.
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED JUST INLAND ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED THIS AFTERNOON AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NO LONGER EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER... WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN REMAINS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY OVER PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR ... GUATEMALA ... AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$FORECASTER MAINELLI