ABNT20 KNHC 181523
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE SEP 18 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM THE EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA EASTWARD FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC AND BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND A TROPICAL WAVE OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER FLORIDA AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
AT THE SURFACE... LOW PRES CENTER QUICKLY DEVELOPING NEAR BIMINI IN THE BAHAMAS
WITH CONVECTION INCREASING RAPIDLY AS UPLIFT PROVIDED BY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY JOINS DIFFLUCENT FLOW ALOFT. CONDITIONS EXACERBATE
WITH CONSTANT MOIST TROPICAL SLY FLOW. ALL MODELS AGREE ON
DEVELOPING A HYBRID NON-TROPICAL LOW PRES CENTER WHICH DRIFTS W
AS IT BECOMES MORE TROPICAL IN NATURE WITH PATH OVER WARM GULF
WATERS WHERE SST IS WELL ABOVE 26 DEG. MAIN DIFFERENCES IN
MODEL SOLUTIONS LIE LATIDUDE OF PATH WITH GFS NORTHERNMOST AND
ECM AT THE SOUTHERNMOST...MOST OTHER MODELS FALL IN BETWEEN.
LANDFALL VARIES FROM 90W TO 97W.
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
329 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM.
* UNTIL 430 PM EDT
* AT 329 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...WITH WIND GUSTS OF 34 KNOTS OR
GREATER...FROM MANATEE 3 MILE NORTH REEF TO 19 MILES EAST OF BIG
SARASOTA PASS...OR FROM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EGMONT KEY TO 19 MILES
EAST OF NEW PASS...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS.
* THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... SIESTA KEY BY 350 PM EDT.
VENICE INLET BY 430 PM EDT.
THE OUTFLOW AHEAD OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS BEFORE 340 PM.
WIND GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...PRODUCING VERY HIGH
WAVES. IF AT SEA...GO BELOW DECK UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. OTHERS
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.
PLEASE REPORT WATERSPOUTS OR FUNNEL CLOUDS...WINDS OF 34 KNOTS OR HIGHER...HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER...AND ANY VESSEL DAMAGE
TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN BY CALLING 813-645-2323.
Cruise Line Fans: Cruise Forum, Reviews and Chat From Real Cruisers
-
Centrum Deck
-
Ask a Cruise Question
-
Hurricane Watch
-
93L- East of Florida
#
Linear Mode
